Dengue is a severe infectious disease on the rise in Malaysia, and there is a demand for artificial intelligence to support the health system. However, the application of deep learning, specifically Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) time series forecasting, has not been explored by many in dengue prediction studies. However, considering the availability of daily weather data being collected, the ability of LSTM to capture long term dependencies can be leveraged in forecasting dengue cases. Therefore, this study investigates the performance and viability of LSTM time series forecasting on predicting dengue cases. An LSTM model is developed and evaluated to be compared to a Support Vector Regression (SVR) model by utilising the availability of a dengue dataset consisting of weather and climate data. The results indicated LSTM time series forecasting performed better than SVR, with R2 and MAE scoring 0.75 and 8.76. In short, LSTM has shown better performance and, in addition, capturing trends in the rise and fall of dengue cases. Altogether, this research could contribute to the fight against the increase of dengue cases without relying on forecasted weather data but instead, history.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
customersupport@researchsolutions.com
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Copyright © 2024 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.