Methylated homeobox A9 (meth-HOXA9) is tumor specific and has been suggested as a prognostic biomarker in several types of cancer. ctDNA measured as meth-HOXA9 may be a valuable biomarker in the decision-making process about last-line treatment of biliary tract cancer (BTC). The aim of the study was to investigate the clinical impact of meth-HOXA9 in plasma from patients receiving erlotinib and bevacizumab for late-stage BTC and to investigate the treatment effect and adverse events. Droplet digital PCR was applied to detect meth-HOXA9 in 39 patients. Response rates were registered according to RECIST (1.1) and adverse events according to Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events Version 4.0 (CTCAE (4.0)). Endpoints were progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), response rate, and toxicity. A significant difference in PFS and OS between patients with increasing and non-increasing meth-HOXA9 was detected after one treatment cycle, hazard ratio (HR) 12.4 (p < 0.0001) and HR 2.75 (p = 0.04), respectively. The most common adverse events of erlotinib were fatigue, pain, and rash, and those of bevacizumab were bleeding and wounds. This study found meth-HOXA9 to be negatively associated with survival in patients with late-stage BTC. Hence, meth-HOXA9 may guide early discontinuation of ineffective treatment.
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