Combining factor analysis with key components of regional logistics capability, this paper proposes Hubei logistics capability evaluation system and method based on factor analysis in the background of industrial transfer, at the same time constructs the evaluation model of Hubei logistics capability, and finally tries to find the major factors affectting Hubei logistics capability. The result of model shows that the major factors affectting the improvement of Hubei logistics capability are: freight traffic, turnover volume of freight traffic, proportion of the tertiary industry, number of trucks, total retail sales of consumer goods, and fixed investment in the logistics industry.
In order to explore whether outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) upgrades the home country's export commodity structure, the paper constructed the Vector Auto Regression (VAR) model to study the impact of China's OFDI on export commodity structure. The results show that OFDI does optimize the export commodity structure of China, which provides the empirical basis for government decision-makers to make trade policies and strategy.
As an extremely important part of the RCEP agreement, rules of origin will encourage enterprises to make more use of raw materials and intermediate products in the region, and more easily reach the regional value components to enjoy the preferential tariff treatment of the RCEP. This paper first analyzes the possible impact of the RCEP rules of origin on China’s manufacturing industry, and then simulates the economic impact of the implementation of the RCEP agreement on China’s manufacturing industry through the Global Trade Analysis Model (GTAP). The simulation results show that: (1) China’s industries with obvious industrial advantages, such as textiles and clothing, will benefit from this, but the output of some industries, such as rubber and plastic products, chemical products and drugs, will be impacted to some extent. (2) From the perspective of the import and export scale of the segmented industries, after the entry into force of the RCEP, China’s imports from the member countries in the region have increased significantly in rubber and plastic products, mineral products, transportation equipment, etc., while the exports have increased significantly in food, beverage, tobacco products, textile, clothing, leather products.
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