We present a new three-dimensional model of the major fault systems in southern California. The model describes the San Andreas fault and associated strikeslip fault systems in the eastern California shear zone and Peninsular Ranges, as well as active blind-thrust and reverse faults in the Los Angeles basin and Transverse Ranges. The model consists of triangulated surface representations (t-surfs) of more than 140 active faults that are defined based on surfaces traces, seismicity, seismic reflection profiles, wells, and geologic cross sections and models. The majority of earthquakes, and more than 95% of the regional seismic moment release, occur along faults represented in the model. This suggests that the model describes a comprehensive set of major earthquake sources in the region. The model serves the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) as a unified resource for physics-based fault systems modeling, strong ground-motion prediction, and probabilistic seismic hazards assessment.
Exposures we have excavated across the San Andreas fault contradict the hypothesis that part of the fault in the Carrizo Plain is unusually strong and experiences relatively infrequent rupture. The exposures record evidence of at least seven surface‐rupturing earthquakes which have been approximately dated by accelerated mass spectrometry radiocarbon analysis of detrital charcoal and buried in situ plants. Five large earthquakes have occurred since 1218 A.D. The most recent earthquake, event A, was the 1857 Fort Tejon earthquake, which we have associated with 6.6–10 m of dextral slip along the main fault trace. The penultimate earthquake, event B, most likely occurred within the period A.D. 1405–1510. Slip from either events B and C combined or from event B alone, totals 7–11 m. Three earthquakes, events C, D, and E, occurred in a temporal cluster prior to event B and after approximately A.D. 1218. The average recurrence interval within this cluster is 73–116 years, depending on assumptions. Events F and G occurred after 200 years B.C. A depositional hiatus between events E and F may hide evidence of additional earthquakes. Events B and D within the Carrizo cluster of A.D. 1218–1510 may correlate with events T (A.D. 1329–1363) and V (A.D. 1465–1495) at Pallett Creek on the Mojave “segment” of the fault. This suggests two fault ruptures similar in length to that of 1857. Events C and E apparently did not rupture the Mojave section, which suggests that the Carrizo segment has ruptured independently or in combination with segments to the north. Irregular repeat times of large earthquakes suggest a pattern of clustered events at the end of seismic “supercycles.”
A paleoseismic study conducted along the Cholame segment of the San Andreas fault provides evidence for three earthquakes and the amount of lateral offset for the most recent event (1857 Fort Tejon earthquake). Excavations at the Las Yeguas (LY4) site include five fault-perpendicular, two parallel, and several handdug trenches. Abruptly truncated sand and silt layers that are not correlative across the fault zone constrain the timing of the penultimate event (L2) between cal. A.D. 1030-1300 and 1390-1460. Vertical offset, shearing, and fracturing of silty sand and gravel units that overlie L2 and historical artifacts that bracket the timing of the MRE (L1) provide evidence that the most recent ground-rupturing event, L1, occurred between cal. A.D. 1390-1460 and ϳ1865. L1 is likely the 1857 Fort Tejon earthquake. Tectonic silt-filled fractures that dissect historic gray-tan silt and sand suggest a ground shaking or a triggered slip event (L0), which occurred after L1. Threedimensional excavation of an alluvial fan edge (unit 4) indicates that 3.0 ע 0.70 m of near-fault brittle slip occurred during the 1857 earthquake at this site.
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