Introduction: The Fragility Index (FI) and the Fragility Quotient (FQ) are powerful statistical tools that can aid clinicians in assessing clinical trial results. The purpose of this study was to use the FI and FQ to evaluate the statistical robustness of widely cited surgical clinical trials in orthopaedic trauma. Methods: We performed a PubMed search for orthopaedic trauma clinical trials in high-impact orthopaedics-focused journals and calculated the FI and FQ for all identified dichotomous, categorical outcomes. Results: We identified 128 studies with 545 outcomes. The median FI was 5, and the median FQ was 0.0482. For statistically significant and not statistically significant outcomes, the median FIs were 3 and 5, and the mean FQs were 0.0323 and 0.0526, respectively. The FI was greater than the number of patients lost to follow-up in most outcomes. Conclusions: The orthopaedic trauma literature is of equal or higher quality than research in other orthopaedic subspecialties, suggesting that other orthopaedic subspecialties may benefit from modeling their clinical trials after those in orthopaedic trauma.
Background: Despite tremendous efforts, the incidence of surgical site infection (SSI) following the surgical treatment of pediatric spinal deformity remains a concern. Although previous studies have reported some risk factors for SSI, these studies have been limited by not being able to investigate multiple risk factors at the same time. The aim of the present study was to evaluate a wide range of preoperative and intraoperative factors in predicting SSI and to develop and validate a prediction model that quantifies the risk of SSI for individual pediatric spinal deformity patients.Methods: Pediatric patients with spinal deformity who underwent primary, revision, or definitive spinal fusion at 1 of 7 institutions were included. Candidate predictors were known preoperatively and were not modifiable in most cases; these included 31 patient, 12 surgical, and 4 hospital factors. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention definition of SSI within 90 days of surgery was utilized. Following multiple imputation and multicollinearity testing, predictor selection was conducted with use of logistic regression to develop multiple models. The data set was randomly split into training and testing sets, and fivefold cross-validation was performed to compare discrimination, calibration, and overfitting of each model and to determine the final model. A risk probability calculator and a mobile device application were developed from the model in order to calculate the probability of SSI in individual patients.Results: A total of 3,092 spinal deformity surgeries were included, in which there were 132 cases of SSI (4.3%). The final model achieved adequate discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.76), as well as calibration and no overfitting. Predictors included in the model were nonambulatory status, neuromuscular etiology, pelvic instrumentation, procedure time ‡7 hours, American Society of Anesthesiologists grade >2, revision procedure, hospital spine surgical cases <100/year, abnormal hemoglobin level, and overweight or obese body mass index. Conclusions:The risk probability calculator encompassing patient, surgical, and hospital factors developed in the present study predicts the probability of 90-day SSI in pediatric spinal deformity surgery. This validated calculator can be utilized to improve informed consent and shared decision-making and may allow the deployment of additional resources and strategies selectively in high-risk patients.
Background: The term “Tweener” is colloquially used to refer to early-onset scoliosis (EOS) patients whose age and development make them candidates for multiple surgical options. The purpose of this study was to establish expert consensus on a definition to formally characterize the Tweener population. Methods: A 3-round survey of surgeons in an international EOS study group was conducted. Surgeons were provided with various patient characteristics and asked if each was part of their definition for Tweener patients. Responses were analyzed for consensus (≥70%), near-consensus (60% to 69%), and no consensus (<60%). Results: Consensus was reached (89% of respondents) for including chronological age in the Tweener definition; 8 to 10 years for females and 9 to 11 years for males. Surgeons agreed for inclusion of Sanders score, particularly Sanders 2 (86.0%). Patients who have reached Sanders 4, postmenarche, or have closed triradiate cartilage should not be considered Tweeners. Bone age range of 8 years and 10 months to 10 years and 10 months for females (12 y for males) could be part of the Tweener definition. Conclusions: This study suggests that the Tweener definition could be the following: patients with open triradiate cartilage who are not postmenarche and have not reached Sanders 4, and if they have one of the following: Sanders 2 or chronological age 8 to 10 years for females (9 to 11 y for males) or bone age 8 years and 10 months to 10 years and 10 months for females (12 y for males). This definition will allow for more focused and comparative research on this population. Level of Evidence: Level V—expert opinion.
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