This paper studies the portfolio management problem for an individual with a non-exponential discount function and habit formation in finite time. The investor receives a deterministic income, invests in risky assets, buys insurance and consumes continuously. The objective is to maximize the utility of excessive consumption, heritage and terminal wealth. The nonexponential discounting makes the optimal strategy adopted by a naive person time-inconsistent. The equilibrium for a sophisticated person is Nash subgame perfect equilibrium, and the sophisticated person is time-consistent. We calculate the analytical solution for both the naive strategy and equilibrium strategy in the CRRA case and compare the results of the two strategies. By numerical simulation, we find that the sophisticated individual will spend less on consumption and insurance and save more than the naive person. The difference in the strategies of the naive and sophisticated person decreases over time. Furthermore, if an individual of either type is more patient in the future or has a greater tendency toward habit formation, he/she will consume less and buy less insurance, and the degree of inconsistency will also be increased. The sophisticated person's consumption and habit level are initially lower than those of a naive person but are higher in later periods.
We study the aggregation of two risks when the marginal distributions are known and the dependence structure is unknown, under the additional constraint that one risk is no larger than the other. Risk aggregation problems with the order constraint are closely related to the recently introduced notion of the directional lower (DL) coupling. The largest aggregate risk in concave order (thus, the smallest aggregate risk in convex order) is attained by the DL coupling. These results are further generalized to calculate the best-case and worst-case values of tail risk measures. In particular, we obtain analytical formulas for bounds on Value-at-Risk. Our numerical results suggest that the new bounds on risk measures with the extra order constraint can greatly improve those with full dependence uncertainty.
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