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Weak signal detection is a significant problem in modern detection such as mechanical fault diagnosis. The uniqueness of chaos and good learning ability of neural networks provide new ideas and framework for weak signal detection field. In this paper, Elman neural network is applied to detect and recover weak pulse signal in chaotic noise. For detection problem of weak pulse signal under chaotic noise, based on short-term predictability of chaotic observations, phase space reconstruction for observed signals is carried out. And Elman deep learning adaptive detection model (EDAD model) is established for weak pulse signal detection, and a hypothesis test is used to detect weak pulse signal from the prediction error. For the recovery of weak pulse signal under chaotic noise, a double-layer Elman deep neural network recovery model (DEDR model) is proposed, which is based on the Elman deep learning network model and single-point jump model for weak pulse signal, and it is optimized with goal of minimizing mean square prediction error of the Elman model. The profile least squares method is applied to estimate parameters of the DEDR model for difficult recovery of weak pulse signal because the DEDR model is essentially a semiparametric model with parametric and nonparametric parts. In the end, simulation experiments show that the model built in this paper can effectively detect and recover weak pulse signal in the background of chaotic noise.

This study attempts to characterize and predict stock index series in Shenzhen stock market using the concepts of multivariate local polynomial regression. Based on nonlinearity and chaos of the stock index time series, multivariate local polynomial prediction methods and univariate local polynomial prediction method, all of which use the concept of phase space reconstruction according to Takens' Theorem, are considered. To fit the stock index series, the single series changes into bivariate series. To evaluate the results, the multivariate predictor for bivariate time series based on multivariate local polynomial model is compared with univariate predictor with the same Shenzhen stock index data. The numerical results obtained by Shenzhen component index show that the prediction mean squared error of the multivariate predictor is much smaller than the univariate one and is much better than the existed three methods. Even if the last half of the training data are used in the multivariate predictor, the prediction mean squared error is smaller than the univariate predictor. Multivariate local polynomial prediction model for nonsingle time series is a useful tool for stock market price prediction.

Divorce is the primary factor affecting the harmony and stability of the family and society. This paper uses spatial statistics to analyze the potential social causes of influencing the spatial distribution of divorce rates in various provinces of China. Firstly, the factors of social influence, family cohesion, and ethnic customs are constructed by factor analysis, then the spatial interaction effect of divorce rate in each province is brought into the model, and the spatial regression analysis of these three factors is carried out. The results show that social influence, especially the tertiary industry share of GDP, has a significant influence on the divorce rate, family cohesion has a distinct negative effect on the divorce rate, and ethnic customs have a noteworthy impact on the divorce rate. It is reflected in the high divorce rate of the majority of ethnic minority population, while, in the spatial data processing, the factor spatial lag model (FSLM) is better than the ordinary least square (OLS) regression model.

A novel semiblind defocused image deconvolution technique is proposed, which is based on multivariate local polynomial regression (MLPR) and iterative Wiener filtering (IWF). In this technique, firstly a multivariate local polynomial regression model is trained in wavelet domain to estimate defocus parameter. After obtaining the point spread function (PSF) parameter, iterative wiener filter is adopted to complete the restoration. We experimentally illustrate its performance on simulated data and real blurred image. Results show that the proposed PSF parameter estimation technique and the image restoration method are effective.