ABSTRACT. We examined the relationship between ringed seal body condition and reproduction and spring sea ice conditions in prime ringed seal habitat in Canada's western Arctic during 1992 -2011. Since 1970, ice conditions in east Amundsen Gulf and west Prince Albert Sound have shown only a slight trend toward earlier ice clearance (breakup) in spring (3 -7 days per decade) (p < 0.10) and no trend toward later freeze-up or increased variability in timing of spring ice clearance. A subsistence harvest -based sample of 2281 ringed seals was obtained during 1992 -2011 from Masoyak, a traditional hunting camp located on the northwest shore of west Prince Albert Sound and less than 5 km from east Amundsen Gulf. The results revealed a statistically significant trend of decreasing mean annual body condition of ringed seals (using an index of length-mass-blubber depth [LMD]: adults, 0.14 m /y) over the past two decades. A parallel result was that mean annual body condition of adults and subadults was correlated with the timing of fast ice clearance in spring (later ice clearance = worse condition). This correlation was most obvious in the extreme ice years in all sex/age groupings and was statistically significant for subadults. In mature females sampled since 1992, annual ovulation rates averaged 92.4 ± 16.3% (SD) and were greater than 80%, and mostly at 100%, in all years but two. Failure to ovulate was obvious in 2005, the most extreme late ice clearance year in our series, when only 30.0% of the mature adult females sampled ovulated. At the same time, values for seal body condition indices (adult females, LMD = 11.3; adult males, LMD = 12.4) and percent pups in the harvest (3.3%) were among the lowest recorded, and spring ice clearance was 38 d later than the 1992 -2011 average. While this and previous studies indicate that the seal population in this core habitat has recovered from natural and extreme-year sea ice fluctuations over the past four decades, the potentially magnified effect of several consecutive extreme ice years, compounded by the concurrent decline in seal body condition that we have now detected over the past 20 years, is of particular concern.Key words: ringed seal, Phoca hispida, ovulation, reproductive failure, body condition, Amundsen Gulf, Prince Albert Sound, sea ice, subsistence harvest, ice clearance RÉSUMÉ. Nous avons examiné le lien qui existe entre l'état corporel du phoque annelé, l'état de reproduction de ce phoque et l'état de la glace de mer printanière dans son habitat d'élection de l'ouest de l'Arctique canadien et ce, entre 1992 et 2011. Depuis 1970, l'état de la glace dans l'est du golfe Amundsen et dans l'ouest du détroit de Prince-Albert n'a affiché qu'une petite tendance vers une débâcle printanière plus hâtive (de 3 à 7 jours par décennie) (p < 0,10) et aucune tendance vers un englacement plus tardif ou une variabilité accrue caractérisant la période de la débâcle du printemps. Un échantillon recueilli à partir de 2 281 phoques annelés ayant fait l'objet d'une récolte de subs...

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a b s t r a c tStudies of the body condition of five marine vertebrate predators in the Beaufort Sea, conducted independently during the past 2-4 decades, suggest each has been affected by biophysical changes in the marine ecosystem. We summarize a temporal trend of increasing body condition in two species (bowhead whale subadults, Arctic char), in both cases influenced by the extent and persistence of annual sea ice. Three other species (ringed seal, beluga, black guillemot chicks), consumers with a dietary preference for Arctic cod, experienced declines in condition, growth and/or production during the same time period. The proximate causes of these observed changes remain unknown, but may reflect an upward trend in secondary productivity, and a concurrent downward trend in the availability of forage fishes, such as the preferred Arctic cod. To further our understanding of these apparent ecosystem shifts, we urge the use of multiple marine vertebrate species in the design of biophysical sampling studies to identify causes of these changes. Continued long-term, standardized monitoring of vertebrate body condition should be paired with concurrent direct (stomach contents) or indirect (isotopes, fatty acids) monitoring of diet, detailed study of movements and seasonal ranges to establish and refine baselines, and identification of critical habitats of the marine vertebrates being monitored. This would be coordinated with biophysical and oceanographic sampling, at spatial and temporal scales, and geographic locations, that are relevant to the home range, critical habitats and prey of the vertebrate indicator species showing changes in condition and related parameters. Crown

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ABSTRACT. Between 1992 and 1998, 869 ringed seals taken in the subsistence harvest in western Prince Albert Sound were sampled by two Inuvialuit seal monitors from Holman, Northwest Territories. Considering the 1992-98 data along with data from 1971 -78, we found that the mean body-mass index (BMI) values for females (≥ 7 yr) were significantly lower in 1974 than in all other years examined. At the same time, ovulation rates fell from 100% in 1971 and 1972 to lows of 42. 9% (1974) and 64.3% (1975), with a return to 93.8% in 1976. Mature females that had ovulated had significantly higher BMI values than those that had not ovulated. In eastern Amundsen Gulf, 1974 was the most severe ice year on recent record, with the latest date of clearing of the landfast ice (6 September), the earliest date of new ice formation (4 October), and the fewest number of open water days (28 days). There were no years between 1992 and 1998 that compared to 1974 in reduced ovulation rates, reduced body condition, or severity of ice conditions. Between 1992 and 1998, mean BMI values for adult females and males were lowest in 1994 and highest in 1998, and all annual mean BMI values were between the extremes of the 1970s. This variation in condition in the 1990s did not coincide with a reduction in ovulation rates of mature females, which remained high (93.5-100%) from 1992 to 1998. In 1998, the landfast ice cleared 43 days earlier than the average clearing date for the 1990-98 period, apparently interrupting the lactation period for seal pups located at the periphery of the core breeding habitat. The apparent effects on growth and condition of unweaned pups came at a time when marine food appeared to be abundant and available to all age classes of ringed seals.