Critically ill cirrhotic patients have high in-hospital mortality and utilize significant health care resources as a consequence of the need for multiorgan support. Despite this fact, their mortality has decreased in recent decades due to improved care of critically ill patients. Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), sepsis and elevated hepatic scores are associated with increased mortality in this population, especially among those not eligible for liver transplantation. No score is superior to another in the prognostic assessment of these patients, and both liver-specific and intensive care unit-specific scores have satisfactory predictive accuracy. The sequential assessment of the scores, especially the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and Chronic Liver Failure Consortium (CLIF)-SOFA scores, may be useful as an auxiliary tool in the decision-making process regarding the benefits of maintaining supportive therapies in this population. A CLIF-ACLF > 70 at admission or at day 3 was associated with a poor prognosis, as well as SOFA score > 19 at baseline or increasing SOFA score > 72. Additional studies addressing the prognostic assessment of these patients are necessary.
Introduction
Stroke remains a major complication of cardiac surgery. Despite all efforts,
the incidence of postoperative stroke remains as high as 6%. We aimed to
investigate risk factors for ischemic stroke in a contemporary cohort of
patients undergoing cardiac surgery.
Methods
This is a retrospective cohort study of 678 consecutive adult patients who
underwent cardiac surgery requiring cardiopulmonary bypass in a tertiary
hospital in Brazil between July 1, 2011, and December 31, 2018. The primary
outcome was the rate of early (perioperative and seven-day postoperative)
stroke, defined as the occurrence of the outcome during the index admission.
We developed a predictive model of stroke using the Poisson regression
analysis with robust variance.
Results
Postoperative stroke occurred in 24 patients (3.5%), 23 (3.3%) were ischemic,
and 21 (3.0%) were diagnosed in the first 72 hours after surgical procedure.
After multivariate analysis, the following factors were significantly
associated with stroke: previous stroke/transient ischemic attack (relative
risk [RR]=2.75; 95% confidence interval [CI],
1.11-6.82), carotid artery disease (RR=4.0; 95% CI, 1.43-11.0), previous
atrial fibrillation (RR=3.26, 95% CI, 1.31-8.1), and postoperative platelets
> 200,000/mm
3
(RR=2.26; 95% CI, 1.01-5.1).
Conclusion
We developed a contemporary model to determine risk predictors for stroke
after cardiac surgery. This model may help clinicians to identify patients
at risk and could be useful in clinical practice.
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