Relatively recently, many researchers in the field of energy harvesting have focused on the concept of harvesting electrical energy from relatively large-amplitude, low-frequency vibrations (such as the movement caused by walking motion or ocean waves). This has led to the development of 'rotational energy harvesters' which, through the use of a rackand-pinion or a ball-screw, are able to convert low-frequency translational motion into high-frequency rotational motion. A disadvantage of many rotational energy harvesters is that, as a result of friction effects in the motion transfer mechanism, they can exhibit large parasitic losses. This results in nonlinear behaviour, which can be difficult to predict using physical-law-based models. In the current article a rotational energy harvester is built and, through using experimental data in combination with a Bayesian approach to system identification, is modelled in a probabilistic manner. It is then shown that the model can be used to make predictions which are both accurate and robust against modelling uncertainties.

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Although in strictly protected areas no forest management and logging activities should be evident, a preliminary study detected that, even in the 200 areas with the highest protection of Russia, more than 2 Mha of trees have been lost between 2001 and 2018. Nonetheless, a relevant percentage of the actual drivers of tree loss in Russian strictly protected areas was surrounded by uncertainties due to several factors. Here, in an attempt to “clarify the smokescreen of Russian protected areas”, by validating previous remotely sensed data with new high-resolution satellite imagery and aerial images of land-use change, we shed more light on what has happened during the last 20 years. We used the same layer of tree loss from 2001 to 2020 but, instead of intersecting it with the MODIS data that could have been a source of underestimation of burned surfaces, we overlapped it to the layer of tree cover loss by dominant driver. We analysed the main drivers of tree loss in almost 200 strictly protected areas of Russia. We found that although fire is responsible for 75% of the loss in all strictly protected areas, forestry activities still account for 16%, and 9% is due to undefined causes. Therefore, uncontrolled wildfires (including those started before or after logging) and forestry activities are the main causes of 91% of the total tree loss. The combination of wildfires (often started intentionally) and forestry activities (illegally or barely legally put in place) caused a loss of an astonishing 3 million hectares. The fact that ≈10% of Russian tree cover was lost in two decades since 2001 only in strictly protected areas requires high attention by policymakers and important conservation actions to avoid losing other fundamental habitats and species during the next years when climate change and population growth can represent an additional trigger of an already dramatic situation. We call for an urgent response by national and local authorities that should start actively fighting wildfires, arsonists, and loggers even in inhabited remote areas and particularly in those included in strictly protected areas.

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