This paper studies the influence of built environment (BE) - including land use types, road network connectivity, transit supply and demographic characteristics - on pedestrian activity and pedestrian-vehicle collision occurrence. For this purpose, a two-equation modeling framework is proposed to investigate the effect of built environment on both pedestrian activity and vehicle-pedestrian collision frequency at signalized intersections. Using accident data of ambulance services in the City of Montreal, the applicability of our framework is illustrated. Different model settings were attempted as part of a model sensitivity analysis. Among other results, it was found that the BE in the proximity of an intersection has a powerful association with pedestrian activity but a small direct effect on pedestrian-vehicle collision frequency. This suggests that the impact of BE is mainly mediated through pedestrian activity. In other words, strategies that encourage densification, mix of land uses and increase in transit supply will increase pedestrian activity and may indirectly, with no supplementary safety strategies, increase the total number of injured pedestrians. In accordance with previous research, the number of motor vehicles entering a particular intersection is the main determinant of collision frequency. Our results show that a 30% reduction in the traffic volume would reduce the total number of injured pedestrians by 35% and the average risk of pedestrian collision by 50% at the intersections under analysis. Major arterials are found to have a double negative effect on pedestrian safety. They are positively linked to traffic but negatively associated with pedestrian activity. The proposed framework is useful for the identification of effective pedestrian safety actions, the prediction of pedestrian volumes and the appropriate safety design of new urban developments that encourage walking.
Understanding the underlying relationship between pedestrian injury severity outcomes and factors leading to more severe injuries is very important in dealing with the problem of pedestrian safety. To investigate injury severity outcomes, many previous works relied on statistical regression models. There has also been some interest for data mining techniques, in particular for clustering techniques which segment the data into more homogeneous subsets. This research combines these two approaches (data mining and statistical regression methods) to identify the main contributing factors associated with the levels of pedestrian injury severity outcomes. This work relies on the analysis of two unique pedestrian injury severity datasets from the City of New York, US (2002US ( -2006 and the City of Montreal, Canada (2003-2006. General injury severity models were estimated for the whole datasets and for subpopulations obtained through clustering analysis. This paper shows how the segmentation of the accident datasets help to better understand the complex relationship between the injury severity outcomes and the contributing geometric, built environment and socio-demographic factors. While using the same methodology for the two datasets, different techniques were tested. For instance, for New York, latent class with ordered probit method provides the best results. However, for Montreal, the K-means with multinomial logit model is identified as the most appropriate technique. The results show the power of using clustering with regression to provide a complementary and more detailed analysis. Among other results, it was found that pedestrian age, location at intersection, actions prior to accident, driver age, vehicle type, vehicle movement, driver alcohol involvement and lighting conditions have an influence on the likelihood of a fatal crash. Moreover, several features within the built environment are shown to have an effect. Finally, the research provides recommendations for policy makers, traffic engineers, and law enforcement to reduce the severity of pedestrian-vehicle collisions. KEYWORDS:Pedestrian safety, regression, latent class, clustering, severity, built environmental, land use variables Mohamed, Saunier, Miranda-Moreno, Ukkusuri 3 INTRODUCTIONRoad user safety is a primary concern, not only for traffic safety specialists and traffic engineers, but for educators and law enforcement as well. Most importantly, pedestrian safety is a vital traffic issue as all road users are pedestrians at one point or another. Since pedestrians are vulnerable road users and suffer more in road crashes, it is important to understand the factors affecting pedestrian injury severity levels. In this way, traffic engineers, planners, decision makers and law enforcement will be able to precisely target these factors through various counter-measures, such as improvements to motorized vehicles, roadway and pedestrian facility design, control strategies at conflict locations, and driver and pedestrian education programs.This pape...
Most individuals prefer bicycling separated from motor traffic. However, cycle tracks (physically separated bicycle-exclusive paths along roads, as found in The Netherlands) are discouraged in the USA by engineering guidance that suggests that facilities such as cycle tracks are more dangerous than the street. The objective of this study conducted in Montreal (with a longstanding network of cycle tracks) was to compare bicyclist injury rates on cycle tracks versus in the street. For six cycle tracks and comparable reference streets, vehicle/bicycle crashes and health record injury counts were obtained and use counts conducted. The relative risk (RR) of injury on cycle tracks, compared with reference streets, was determined. Overall, 2.5 times as many cyclists rode on cycle tracks compared with reference streets and there were 8.5 injuries and 10.5 crashes per million bicycle-kilometres. The RR of injury on cycle tracks was 0.72 (95% CI 0.60 to 0.85) compared with bicycling in reference streets. These data suggest that the injury risk of bicycling on cycle tracks is less than bicycling in streets. The construction of cycle tracks should not be discouraged.
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