Background
Patients colonized with carbapenem resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE) are at higher risk of developing CRE infection after liver transplantation (LT) with associated high morbidity and mortality. Prediction model for CRE infection after LT among carriers could be useful to target preventive strategies.
Methods
Multinational multicenter cohort study of consecutive adult patients underwent LT and colonized with CRE before or after LT, from January 2010 to December 2017. Risk factors for CRE infection were analyzed by univariate analysis and by Fine-Gray sub-distribution hazard model, with death as competing event. A nomogram to predict 30- and 60-day CRE infection risk was created.
Results
840 LT recipients found to be colonized with CRE before (n=203) or after (n=637) LT were enrolled. CRE infection was diagnosed in 250 (29.7%) patients within 19 (IQR 9-42) days after LT. Pre-and post-LT colonization, multisite post-LT colonization, prolonged mechanical ventilation, acute renal injury, and surgical re-intervention were retained in the prediction model. Median 30 and 60-day predicted risk was 15% (IQR 11-24%) and 21% (IQR 15-33%), respectively. Discrimination and prediction accuracy for CRE infection was acceptable on derivation (AUC 74.6, Brier index 16.3) and bootstrapped validation dataset (AUC 73.9, Brier index 16.6). Decision-curve analysis suggested net benefit of model-directed intervention over default strategies (treat all, treat none) when CRE infection probability exceeded 10%. The risk prediction model is freely available as mobile application at https://idbologna.shinyapps.io/CREPostOLTPredictionModel/.
Conclusions
Our clinical prediction tool could enable better targeting interventions for CRE infection after transplant.
We retrospectively evaluated the medical records of 15 patients diagnosed with leishmaniasis and of 28 patients diagnosed with paracoccidioidomycosis presenting with involvement of the oral-nasal-pharyngeal mucosa seen at Escola Paulista de Medicina from 1986 through 1990. These patients were compared in regard to the following variables: sex, age, time since disease onset, location of lesion, and clinical complaints. Sex, time since disease onset, lesion at the nasal septum, palate, tongue, and lips, and history of oral pain, dysphagia/odynophagia, and nasal obstruction were significantly different in the two groups of patients. The authors point out to the relevance of these findings in the differential clinical diagnosis of leishmaniasis and paracoccidioidomycosis.
Few studies have compared the clinical impact of multiple DNA-virus infections in haploidentical hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (haplo-HSCT) with posttransplant cyclophosphamide (PTCy) and unrelated donor allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (UD-HSCT) with thymoglobulin, so we retrospectively analyzed viral infections in the first 6 mo posttransplant in these scenarios. Fifty-nine patients underwent to haplo-HSCT, and 68 to UD-HSCT. The most frequent infection was cytomegalovirus (CMV) (76.3% in haplo-HSCT and 69.1% in UD-HSCT) (P = .878) and in the group of patients with CMV reactivation, maximal CMV viral load over 2500 UI/ ml correlated with worse overall survival-hazard ratio (HR) 1.93 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-3.59) P = .03. The cumulative incidence of multiple DNA virus within 180 d of posttransplant was 78.7% for one virus and 28.4% for two or more viruses with no difference regarding the type of transplant. Viral infections, age, and acute graft versus host disease (GVHD) grades II-IV were risk factors for worse overall survival in multivariate analyses: one virus HR 2.53 (95% CI 1.03-6.17) P = .04, two or
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