The Mar Menor is a Mediterranean coastal saltwater lagoon (Murcia, Spain) that represents a unique ecosystem of vital importance for the area, from both an economic and ecological point of view. During the last decades, the intense agricultural activity has caused episodes of eutrophication due to the contribution of inorganic nutrients, especially nitrates. For this reason, it is important to control the quality of the water discharged into the Mar Menor lagoon, which can be performed through the measurement of dissolved oxygen (DO). Therefore, this article aimed to predict the DO in the water discharged into this lagoon through the El Albujón watercourse, for which two theoretical models consisting of a multiple linear regression (MLR) and a back-propagation neural network (RPROP) were developed. Data of temperature, pH, nitrates, chlorides, sulphates, electrical conductivity, phosphates and DO at the mouth of this watercourse, between January 2014 and January 2021, were used. A preliminary statistical study was performed to discard the variables with the lowest influence on DO. Finally, both theoretical models were compared by means of the coefficient of determination (R2), the root mean square errors (RMSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE), concluding that the neural network made a more accurate prediction of DO.
Groundwater is humanity’s freshwater pantry, constituting 97% of available freshwater. The 6th Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) of the UN Agenda 2030 promotes “Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all”, which takes special significance in arid or semi-arid regions. The region of Campo de Cartagena (Murcia, Spain) has one of the most technified and productive irrigation systems in Europe. As a result, the groundwater in this zone has serious chemical quality problems. To qualify and predict groundwater quality of this region, which may later facilitate its management, two machine learning models (Naïve-Bayes and Decision-tree) are proposed. These models did not require great computing power and were developed from a reduced number of data using the KNIME (KoNstanz Information MinEr) tool. Their accuracy was tested by the corresponding confusion matrix, providing a high accuracy in both models. The obtained results showed that groundwater quality was higher in the northern and west zones. This may be due to the presence in the north of the Andalusian aquifer, the deepest in Campo de Cartagena, and in the west to the predominance of rainfed crops, where the amount of water available for leaching fertilizers is lower, coming mainly from rainfall.
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