By employing machine learning techniques, we were able to demonstrate that imaging patterns are highly predictive of patient survival. Additionally, we found that GB subtypes have distinctive imaging phenotypes. These results reveal that when imaging markers related to infiltration, cell density, microvascularity, and blood-brain barrier compromise are integrated via advanced pattern analysis methods, they form very accurate predictive biomarkers. These predictive markers used solely preoperative images, hence they can significantly augment diagnosis and treatment of GB patients.

Background Glioblastoma is an aggressive and highly infiltrative brain cancer. Standard surgical resection is guided by enhancement on postcontrast T1-weighted (T1) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), which is insufficient for delineating surrounding infiltrating tumor. Objective To develop imaging biomarkers that delineate areas of tumor infiltration and predict early recurrence in peritumoral tissue. Such markers would enable intensive, yet targeted, surgery and radiotherapy, thereby potentially delaying recurrence and prolonging survival. Methods Preoperative multiparametric MRIs (T1, T1-Gad, T2-weighted [T2], T2-fluid-attenuated inversion recovery [FLAIR], diffusion tensor imaging (DTI), and dynamic susceptibility contrast-enhanced [DSC]-MRI) from 31 patients were combined using machine learning methods, thereby creating predictive spatial maps of infiltrated peritumoral tissue. Cross validation was used in the retrospective cohort to achieve generalizable biomarkers. Subsequently, the imaging signatures learned from the retrospective study were used in a replication cohort of 34 new patients. Spatial maps representing likelihood of tumor infiltration and future early recurrence were compared to regions of recurrence on postresection follow-up studies with pathology confirmation. Results This technique produced predictions of early recurrence with a mean area under the curve (AUC) of 0.84, sensitivity of 91%, specificity of 93%, and odds ratio estimates of 9.29 (99% CI, 8.95–9.65) for tissue predicted to be heavily infiltrated in the replication study. Regions of tumor recurrence were found to have subtle, yet fairly distinctive multiparametric imaging signatures when analyzed quantitatively by pattern analysis and machine learning. Conclusion Visually imperceptible imaging patterns discovered via multiparametric pattern analysis methods were found to estimate the extent of infiltration and location of future tumor recurrence, paving the way for improved targeted treatment.