With increased pressures and tightening budgets within English Children's Services in the UK, seeking more effective operational and financial management is becoming a more significant topic of discussion. In other sectors, complex data analysis methods provide the aforementioned management improvements through better understanding of current situations leading to better decision making. Currently, investment remains at a slow pace in English Local Authorities due to budget restrictions. In this paper, a potential opportunity is explored with existing publicly available data related to this area. With the help of industry experts, an Agent-Based Model is created to emulate basic Children's Services operations and optimised to fit existing data using NSGA-III. With relatively close matches being achieved with sample authorities, this approach demonstrates promise in advancing analytics capabilities for Children's Services and practical solutions are discussed. With this presented work, it is shown that further expansion and exploration into real-world applications is warranted.
With current and predicted economic pressures within English Children's Services in the UK, there is a growing discourse around the development of methods of analysis using existing data to make more effective interventions and policy decisions. Agent-Based modelling shows promise in aiding in this, with limitations that require novel methods to overcome. This can include challenges in managing model complexity, transparency, and validation; which may deter analysts from implementing such Agent-Based simulations. Children's Services specifically can gain from the expansion of modelling techniques available to them. Sensitivity Analysis is a common step when analysing models that currently has methods with limitations regarding Agent-Based Models. This paper outlines an improved method of conducting Sensitivity Analysis to enable better utilisation of Agent-Based models (ABMs) within Children's Services. By using machine learning based regression in conjunction with the Nomadic Peoples Optimiser (NPO) a method of conducting sensitivity analysis tailored for ABMs is achieved. This paper demonstrates the effectiveness of the approach by drawing comparisons with common existing methods of sensitivity analysis, followed by a demonstration of an improved ABM design in the target use case.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
customersupport@researchsolutions.com
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Copyright © 2025 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.