After the mining subsidence area reaches the stable state of surface movement, due to the continuous existence of the mutual extrusion and activation state between rock strata, the movement of particles, rock creep, and soil compression will affect the surface movement in the long-term stability, thereby threatening the safety and stability of the above ground buildings. In order to study the deformation law of rock strata movement and surface displacement after the mining subsidence area is stabilized, establish a ground deformation model caused by mining, explore the characteristics of ground movement and deformation under the action of building loads, design a similar material simulation experiment, record the ground movement changes within 378 days after the mining is completed, after the settlement is stabilized, apply equivalent loads of 10–30 floors to the model at different locations, and study various surface deformation data, Analyze the change rule. In order to quantitatively analyze the impact of residual deformation of goaf on buildings under building load, the D5 gate area of Tangshan World Horticultural Exposition in mining subsidence area is taken as an example to calculate the ground settlement value and other deformation data using probability analysis method, and the Kelvin model in rock mechanics is introduced in terms of the duration of residual deformation. The calculation results are close to the actual measured values, and the impact of residual deformation on the proposed building is analyzed.