Abstract. A long AE index time series is used as a crucial magnetospheric quantity in order to study the underlying dynainics. For this purpose we utilize methods of nonlinear and chaotic analysis of time series. Two basic components of this analysis are the reconstruction of the experimental tiine series state space trajectory of the underlying process and the statistical testing of an null hypothesis. The null hypothesis against which the experimental time series are tested is that the observed AE index signal is generated by a linear stochastic signal possibly perturbed by a static nonlinear distortion. As dis ' ' ating statistics we use geometrical characteristics of the reconstructed state space (Part I, which is the work of this paper) and dynamical characteristics (Part II, which is the work a separate paper), and "nonlinear" surrogate data, generated by two different techniques which can mimic the original (AE index) signal. lie null hypothesis is tested for geometrical characteristics which are the dimension of the reconstructed trajectory and some new geometrical parameters introduced in this work for the efficient discrimination between the nonlinear stochastic surrogate data and the AE index. Finally, the estimated geometric characteristics of the magnetospheric AE index present new evidence about the nonlinear and low dimensional character of the underlying magnetospheric dynamics for the AE index.
Abstract. In this study we present theoretical concepts and results concerning the hypothesis test of the magnetospheric chaos. For this reason we compare the observational behavior of the magnetospheric system with results obtained by analysing different types of stochastic and deterministic input-output systems. The results of this comparison indicate that the hypothesis of lowdimensional chaos for the magnetospheric dynamics remains a possible and fruitful concept which must be developed further.
Abstract. The singular value decomposition (SVD) analysis is used at different stages in this paper in order to extract useful information concerning the underlying dynamics of the magnetospheric AE index. As a frame of reference we use the dynamics of the Lorenz system perturbed by external noise, white or colored. One of the critical results is that the colored noise can be differentiated from the white noise when we study their perturbation upon the eigenvalue spectrum of the trajectory matrix, the SVD reconstructed components of the original time series and other characteristics. This result is used in order to conclude the existence of strong component of colored noise included in the magnetospheric AE index time series. Moreover, the study of the SVD reconstructed components of the original time series can confirm the low-dimensionality of a dynamical system strongly perturbed by external colored noise. Finally, the results of this study strengthen the hypothesis of the magnetospheric chaos.
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