Hospitalizations for acute exacerbation in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have a great impact on health care expenditure. The aim of this study was to look at predictive factors of hospitalization for acute exacerbation in a group of patients with moderate to severe COPD. During the year 1994, we included 64 patients with COPD in this study. At inclusion, the patients being in a stable state, we performed a complete evaluation of their clinical, spirometric, gasometric, and pulmonary hemodynamic characteristics. All patients were followed during a period of at least 2.5 yr. We recorded the intervals free of hospitalization for exacerbation and realized an analysis of the proportional hazards not to be hospitalized using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate analysis using the log-rank test showed that the risk of being hospitalized was significantly increased in patients with COPD with a low body mass index (BMI <= 20 kg/m2, p = 0.015) and in patients with a limited 6-min walk distance (<= 367 m, p = 0. 045). But above all, the risk of hospitalization for acute exacerbation was significantly increased by gas exchange impairment and pulmonary hemodynamic worsening: PaO2 <= 65 mm Hg versus PaO2 > 65 mm Hg, p = 0.005; PaCO2 > 44 mm Hg versus PaCO2 <= 44 mm Hg, p = 0.005; and mean pulmonary artery pressure ( Ppa) at rest > 18 mm Hg versus Ppa <= 18 mm Hg, p = 0.0008. Neither age, nor the association of one or more comorbidities with COPD, nor the smoking habits had a significant impact on the risk of hospitalization in our study. Multivariate analysis showed that only PaCO2 and Ppa were independently related to the risk of hospitalization for acute exacerbation of COPD. We conclude that chronic hypercapnic respiratory insufficiency and pulmonary hypertension are predictive factors of hospitalization for acute exacerbation in COPD patients.

The prognostic value and the evolution of pulmonary hypertension (PH) in patients with markedly hypoxemic chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), treated or not with long-term oxygen therapy (LTOT), has been extensively investigated. However, little is known in patients with mildly or moderately hypoxemic COPD not requiring LTOT. Therefore, we assessed the evolution of pulmonary hemodynamics in 131 patients with stable COPD by performing two right heart catheterizations at a mean (+/- SD) time interval of 6.8 +/- 2.9 yr. At inclusion (T0), no patient had PH (i.e., the mean pulmonary artery pressure [Ppa] at rest was < 20 mm Hg). Group 1 included 55 patients without exercising PH and group 2 included 76 patients with exercising PH, defined by a pulmonary arterial pressure (Ppa) > 30 mm Hg during a steady-state 40-W exercise. Group 2 patients compared with group 1 patients had a significantly higher resting Ppa (16 +/- 3 mm Hg versus 14 +/- 2 mm Hg, p = 0.001). At the second catheterization, 33 (25%) patients (9 of 55 in group 1, 24 of 76 in group 2, p = 0.048) showed a resting Ppa > 20 mm Hg, but PH was generally mild, ranging from 20 to 42.5 mm Hg. The mean Ppa at second evaluation was 16 +/- 5 mm Hg in group 1 and 19 +/- 7 mm Hg in group 2 (p = 0.01). The patients who developed resting PH at the second catheterization (T1) had higher resting and exercising Ppa (p = 0.001 and p = 0.002, respectively), and significantly lower resting and exercising Pa(O(2)) (p = 0.005 and p = 0.012, respectively) at T0. Logistic regression analysis showed that resting and exercising Ppa were independent predictors (at T0) for the subsequent development of PH (p = 0.029 and p = 0.027, respectively). The patients who developed resting PH (T1) had a significantly worsening of Pa(O(2)) (from 63.5 mm Hg at T0 to 60 mm Hg at T1, p = 0.047), whereas the Pa(O(2)) as a mean was stable in the remainder (69.5 mm Hg at T0 and T1). These results show the following. The progression of Ppa over time in patients with COPD with mild to moderate hypoxemia is rather slow, the average change for the group as a whole being of + 0.4 mm Hg/yr. Only about 25% of patients with COPD with mild to moderate hypoxemia and without resting PH at the onset will develop PH during a 6-yr follow-up. The patients with exercising PH at the onset have a significantly increased risk of developing PH over time. Only resting and exercising Ppa at the onset are independently related to the subsequent development of PH. However, in individual cases, the models of linear or logistic regression do not allow a pertinent prediction of the level of Ppa or the presence of PH at the second right heart catheterization.

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EGFR and KRAS status independently impacts outcomes in advanced non-small-cell lung cancer patients treated with EGFR-TKI. However, EGFR status impacts both PFS and OS whereas KRAS only impacts OS. These findings support the nationwide use of EGFR status for patient selection before EGFR-TKI therapy. The role of KRAS mutations remains to be elucidated.