Aircraft engine condition monitoring is a key technology for increasing safety and reducing maintenance expenses. Current engine condition monitoring approaches use a minimum of one steady-state snapshot per flight. Whilst being appropriate for trending gradual engine deterioration, snapshots result in a detrimental latency in fault detection. The increased availability of non-mandatory data acquisition hardware in modern airplanes provides so-called full-flight data sampled continuously during flight. These datasets enable the detection of engine faults within one flight by deriving a statistically relevant set of steady-state data points, thus, allowing the application of machine-learning approaches. It is shown that low-pass filtering before steady-state detection significantly increases the success rate in detecting steady-state data points. The application of Principal Component Analysis halves the number of relevant dimensions and provides a coordinate system of principal components retaining most of the variance. Consequently, clusters of data points with and without engine fault can be separated visually and numerically using a One-Class Support Vector Machine. High detection rates are demonstrated for various component faults and even for a minimum instrumentation suite using synthesized datasets derived from full-flight data of commercially operated flights. In addition to the tests conducted with synthesized data, the algorithm is verified based on operational in-flight measurements providing a proof-of-concept. Consequently, the availability of continuously sampled in-flight measurements combined with machine-learning methods allows fault detection within a single flight.
Current state-of-the-art engine condition monitoring is based on a minimum of one steady-state data point per flight. Due to the scarcity of available data points, there are difficulties distinguishing between random scatter and an underlying fault introducing a detection latency of several flights. Today’s increased availability of data acquisition hardware in modern aircraft provides continuously sampled in-flight measurements, so-called full-flight data. These full-flight data give access to sufficient data points to detect faults within a single flight, significantly improving the availability and safety of aircraft. Artificial neural networks are considered well suited for the timely analysis of an extensive amount of incoming data. This article proposes uncertainty quantification for artificial neural networks, leading to more reliable and robust fault detection. An existing approach for approximating the aleatoric uncertainty was extended by an Out-of-Distribution Detection in order to take the epistemic uncertainty into account. The method was statistically evaluated, and a grid search was performed to evaluate optimal parameter combinations maximizing the true positive detection rates. All test cases were derived based on in-flight measurements of a commercially operated regional jet. Especially when requiring low false positive detection rates, the true positive detections could be improved 2.8 times while improving response times by approximately 6.9 compared to methods only accounting for the aleatoric uncertainty.
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