The present research provides evidence on the determinants driving the differences in the unemploymentoutput relationship in Spanish regions. We followed a two-step approach. First, we estimated a set of time-varying Okun's coefficients (rolling-window) for the autonomous communities in Spain (1981-2013) showing significant regional differences as well as important changes over time. At the second step, we estimated FMOLS and DOLS models to explain regional differences in Okun's law. The results obtained lead to the conclusion that differences in the weight of self-employment and its variations over time prove relevant when accounting for differences in Okun's law between Spanish regions, and its effect (in standard deviations) is greater than that of variations in labour productivity per worker, which so far had been considered the main driver of regional discrepancies. The economic policy implications of this outcome are huge due to the fact that Spanish regional and national authorities are promoting selfemployment.
Resumen
Las fluctuaciones de la actividad económica repercuten más levemente en las tasas de desempleo de los países latinoamericanos que en las de otras economías más avanzadas. En lugar de adoptar políticas de estímulo centradas en reducir el desempleo en general, esos países necesitan políticas focalizadas mediante programas que fomenten la creación de empleo en sectores específicos. Se observan diferencias en la relación desempleo‐producto entre países latinoamericanos. Allí donde la relación es débil o nula, las variaciones cíclicas afectan adversamente a la calidad del empleo, un aspecto del que la política económica también debe ocuparse.
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