Objective
To establish the prevalence of high‐grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN2+) in women referred to colposcopy with persistent high‐risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) cytology‐negative screening sample according to hrHPV genotype, age at referral and colposcopic performance.
Design
Prospective cohort study.
Setting
Single colposcopy clinic linked to a population‐based screening programme.
Population
Women referred with persistent hrHPV cytology‐negative routine screening samples.
Methods
Prospective study with descriptive statistics from a single colposcopy unit between June 2014 and July 2019.
Main outcome measures
Prevalence of hrHPV genotypes and CIN2+, positive predictive value for colposcopic impression, and inadequate colposcopic examinations.
Results
A total of 3107 women were referred. Prevalence of CIN2+ was highest for persistent HPV16 infections (10.7%) compared with HPV18 (3.6%) or HPVO (4.7%). Prevalence of CIN2+ declined with age (25–34 years 14.2% to 55–64 years 1.1%) whereas the percentage of women with an inadequate colposcopic examination increased (25–34 years 0.9% to 55–64 years 29.5%). High‐grade colposcopic impression fell over time during the study from 16.1 to 5.1%. The positive predictive value for colposcopic impression of CIN2+ was affected by hrHPV genotype (57.3% for HPV16 versus 32.1% for nonHPV16). The adjunctive use of electrical impedance spectroscopy detected an extra 42 cases of CIN2+, which was irrespective of hrHPV genotype.
Conclusions
Primary hrHPV cervical screening increases detection of CIN2+; however, low specificity results in more women being referred to colposcopy with a low prevalence of CIN2+. Colposcopy performs poorly in some groups, particularly with HPVO infections and women over 50 years of age. An appropriate threshold for referral to colposcopy in primary hrHPV screening has not been established.
Tweetable abstract
Low prevalence of CIN2+ in HPV‐positive negative cytology samples. HPV genotype, age and prevalence of CIN2+ affect colposcopic performance.
There is no doubt that organised cervical screening programmes have significantly reduced the rates of cervical cancer by detection and treatment of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN2, CIN3). National UK guidelines do not differentiate between CIN2 and CIN3 as separate entities and recommend treatment for both, although a degree of uncertainty exists regarding the natural history of CIN2. This national survey of British Society for Colposcopy and Cervical Pathology members aimed to assess attitudes towards conservative management (CM) of CIN2 in the UK and identify potential selection criteria. In total, 511 members responded (response rate 32%); 55.6% offered CM for selective cases; 12.4% for all cases; 16.4% had formal guidelines. Most agreed age group was >40yrs (83%), HPV 16/18 positive (51.4%), smoking (60%), immuno-compromise (74.2%), and large lesion size (80.8%) were relative contraindications for CM. 75.9% favoured six-monthly monitoring, with 80.2% preferring excisional treatment for persistent high-grade disease. Many UK colposcopists manage CIN2 conservatively without formal guidelines. Potential selection criteria should be investigated by a multicentre study. Impact statement Although anecdotally some colposcopists manage many women with CIN2 conservatively, this National Audit of British Society for Colposcopy and Cytopathology members, we believe, is the first time this has been formally recorded. The survey assesses current attitudes towards conservative management (CM) of CIN2 and seeks to identify potential selection criteria that could be used to identify suitable women. It received over 500 responses and significantly, identified many colposcopists recommending CM of CIN2 for patients despite the lack of any formal guidance regarding this approach. The greater majority of respondents were keen to consider participating in a multicentre trial on CM of CIN2 targeting the UK screening population (25-64 years). The paper has international relevance as ACOG and ASCCP have recently changed their guidance for the management of CIN2 in younger women and now recommend CM with monitoring rather than first line ablative or excisional treatment due to concerns regarding overtreatment, especially in women who have not yet completed their family.
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