Abstract. Recent advances in visual data analysis are well suited to gain insights into dynamical processes in the atmosphere. We apply novel methods for three-dimensional (3-D) interactive visual data analysis to investigate marine cold air outbreaks (MCAOs) and polar lows (PLs) in the recently released ERA5 reanalysis data. Our study aims at revealing 3-D perspectives on MCAOs and PLs in ERA5 and at improving the diagnostic indices to capture these weather events in long-term assessments on seasonal and climatological timescales. Using an extended version of the open-source visualization framework Met.3D, we explore 3-D perspectives on the structure and dynamics of MCAOs and PLs and relate these to previously used diagnostic indices. Motivated by the 3-D visual analysis of selected MCAO and PL cases, we conceptualize alternative index variants that capture the vertical extent of MCAOs and their distance to the dynamical tropopause. The new index variants are evaluated, along with previously used indices, with a focus on their skill as a proxy for the occurrence of PLs. Testing the association of diagnostic indices with observed PLs in the Barents and the Nordic seas for the years 2002–2011 shows that the new index variants based on the vertical structure of cold air masses are more skilful in distinguishing the times and locations of PLs, compared with conventional indices based on sea–air temperature difference only. We thus propose using the new diagnostics for further analyses in climate predictions and climatological studies. The methods for visual data analysis applied here are available as an open-source tool and can be used generically for interactive 3-D visual analysis of atmospheric processes in ERA5 and other gridded meteorological data.

<p>We present the application of interactive 3-D visual analysis techniques using the open-source meteorological visualization framework Met.3D <strong>[1]</strong> for investigating ERA5 reanalysis data. Our focus lies on inspecting atmospheric conditions favoring the development of extreme weather events in the Arctic. Marine Cold Air Outbreaks (MCAOs) and Polar Lows (PLs) are analyzed with the aim of improving diagnostic indices for capturing extreme weather events in seasonal and climatological assessments. We adopt an integrated workflow starting with the interactive visual exploration of single MCAO and PL events, using an extended version of Met.3D, followed by the design and testing of new diagnostic indices in a climatological assessment. Our interactive visual exploration provides insights into the complex 3-D shape and dynamics of MCAOs and PLs. For instance, we reveal a slow wind eye of a PL that extends from the surface up into the stratosphere. Motivated by the interactive visual analysis of single cases of MCAOs, we design new diagnostic indices, which address shortcomings of previously used indices, by capturing the vertical extent of the lower-level static instability induced by MCAOs. The new indices are tested by comparison with observed PLs in the Barents and the Nordic Seas (as reported in the STARS data set). Results show that the new MCAO index introduced here has an important advantage compared with previously used MCAO indices: it is more successful in indicating the times and locations of PLs. We thus propose the new index for further analyses in seasonal climate predictions and climatological studies. The methods for interactive 3-D visual data analysis presented here are made freely available for public use as part of the open-source tool Met.3D. We thereby provide a generic tool that can be used for investigating atmospheric processes in ERA5 data by means of interactive 3-D visual data analysis. Met.3D can be used, for example, during an initial explorative phase of scientific workflows, as a complement to standard 2-D plots, and for detailed meteorological case-analyses in 3-D.</p><div><br><div> <p>[1] http://met3d.wavestoweather.de, https://collaboration.cen.uni-hamburg.de/display/Met3D/</p> </div> </div>