Objective: To evaluate the impact of changes in elective Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (AAA) management on life-expectancy of AAA patients. Background: Over the past decades AAA repair underwent substantial changes, that is, the introduction of EVAR and implementation of intensified cardiovascular risk management. The question rises to what extent these changes improved longevity of AAA patients. Methods: National evaluation including all 12.907 (82.7% male) patients who underwent elective AAA repair between 2001 and 2015 in Sweden. The impact of changes in AAA management was established by a time-resolved analysis based on 3 timeframes: open repair dominated period (2001–2004, n = 2483), transition period (2005–2011, n = 6230), and EVAR-first strategy period (2012–2015, n = 4194). Relative survival was used to quantify AAA-associated mortality, and to adjust for changes in life-expectancy. Results: Relative survival of electively treated AAA patients was stable and persistently compromised [4-year relative survival and 95% confidence interval: 0.87 (0.85–0.89), 0.87 (0.86–0.88), 0.89 (0.86–0.91) for the 3 periods, respectively]. Particularly alarming is the severely compromised survival of female patients (4-year relative survival females 0.78, 0.80, 0.70 vs males 0.89, 0.89, 0.91, respectively). Cardiovascular mortality remained the main cause of death (51.0%, 47.2%, 47.9%) and the proportion cardiovascular disease over non-cardiovascular disease death was stable over time. Conclusions: Changes in elective AAA management reduced short-term mortality, but failed to improve the profound long-term survival disadvantage of AAA patients. The persistent high (cardiovascular) mortality calls for further intensification of cardiovascular risk management, and a critical appraisal of the basis for the excess mortality of AAA patients.

Background Studies on intact abdominal aortic aneurysms mainly focus on treated patients, and data on untreated patients are sparse. The objective was to investigate sex differences among untreated patients regarding rupture and mortality rates and to determine predictors for these events. Sex‐specific causes of death were evaluated. Methods and Results All patients ≥40 years diagnosed from 2001 to 2015 (n=32 393) with intact abdominal aortic aneurysms were identified in national registries; 60% (n=19 569) were untreated. Comorbid loads, crude rupture, and mortality rates were assessed. Predictors of 5‐year rupture and mortality were analyzed in Cox models (sex, age, comorbidities, income, and marital status). The proportion of men and women with multiple comorbidities was similar. Within 5 years, 798 ruptures occurred (9.7% women versus 6.9% men, P <0.001). Ruptures were independently predicted by female sex (hazard ratio [HR], 1.23; 95% CI, 1.07–1.42; P =0.004), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.15–1.62; P <0.001), age (HR, 11.49; 95% CI, 5.68–23.25 for ≥80 years; P <0.001), and income (HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.53–0.75 for highest tertile; P <0.001). After 5 years, 56.5% women and 50.4% men were deceased. Mortality was not independently predicted by female sex. Rupture was the third most common cause of death (11.9% women versus 8.7% men; P <0.001). The median time‐to‐events was 2.8 years. Conclusions A considerable proportion of patients with intact abdominal aortic aneurysms in surveillance remain untreated. Despite surveillance algorithms, the healthcare system fails to prevent a high number of ruptures, especially among women. The time‐to‐event data highlight the urgency to develop more individualized surveillance.

Objective: The devastating event of a ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA) in patients who have survived a previous AAA repair, either elective or urgent, is a feared and quite uncommon event. It has been suggested to partly explain the loss of the early survival benefit for endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) vs open surgical repair (OSR). The main objective of this study was to report the national incidence rate, risk factors and outcome of post-EVAR ruptures. Secondarily, the national incidence rate of ruptures after OSR (post-OSR ruptures) was investigated.Methods: We conducted a nationwide, population-based, retrospective cohort study using the inpatient and outpatient entries for all patients >40 years of age, receiving their first (index) surgical procedure for AAA, from 2001 to 2015. Only patients surviving their index procedure were included. The primary outcome was rAAA, registered after discharge from the index procedure (EVAR or OSR), identified in the Swedish National Patient Registry and the Cause of Death Registry.Results: In total, 14,859 patients survived their primary (index) AAA procedure. There were 6470 EVAR procedures, 5893 for intact AAA (iAAA) and 577 for rAAA. Of the 6470 EVAR patients, 86 cases of post-EVAR rupture were identified, corresponding with a cumulative incidence of 1.3% over a mean follow-up time of 3.9 years. The incidence rate was 3.4 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.7-4.2)/1000 person-years. The independent risk factors identified for post-EVAR rupture were rAAA at index surgery HR 2.4 (95% CI, 1.4-4.1, p 0.002) and age (hazard ratio, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.0-1.1; P < .001). Freedom from post-EVAR rupture was 99%, 98%, and 96% at 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively. Total and postoperative mortality after post-EVAR rupture were 42% and 17% (30 days), 45% and 22% (90 days), and 53% and 33% (1 year). The incidence rate of post-OSR rupture was 0.9/1000 person-years (95% CI, 0.7-1.2).Conclusions: Post-EVAR rupture is a rare complication that can occur at any time after the index EVAR procedure. This finding may have implications for the discussion of limited follow-up programs and for the choice of procedure in patients with an AAA with a long life expectancy. An rAAA as the indication for the index surgery and age were identified as risk factors for post-EVAR rupture. The mortality associated with post-EVAR rupture is high, but lower than that of primary rAAA. The much lower risk of post-OSR rupture was confirmed, but must not be neglected as a possible late complication.