No abstract

No abstract

No abstract

Background A periodic and multiparametric assessment of the risk profile of patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is essential for a low-risk oriented treatment strategy. Haemodynamic parameters anyway cannot be collected at each scheduled outpatients clinic follow-up visit. Purpose To evaluate echocardiographic predictors of haemodynamic low-risk parameters in patients with PAH. Methods Patients with PAH referred to our centre were included up to 31 December 2019. All patients underwent baseline demographic, clinical, WHO functional class, 6-minute walk test, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), right cardiac catheterization and echocardiographic evaluation. Through a multivariate logistic regression analysis we evaluate the echocardiographic predictors of low risk for: 1) BNP/right atrial pressure (RAP): NT-proBNP <300 ng/l/BNP <50 ng/l AND RAP <8 mmHg; 2) cardiac index (CI)/mixed venous oxygen saturation (SvO2): CI ≥2.5 l/min/m2 AND SvO2 >65%. Echocardiographic parameters cut-offs were chosen on the basis of the ROC curves or Literature data. Results 1020 patients were included. The two analysis were performed independently. 1. Independent echocardiographic predictors of low-risk BNP/RAP were: indexed right atrial area, mitral E/A ratio, dimension and inspiratory collapse of inferior vena cava and indexed left ventricular diastolic volume. We elaborated a score utilizing these parameter cut-offs: an indexed right atrial area of 10.4–15 cm2/m2, a mitral E/A ratio of 0.8, dimension and inspiratory collapse of inferior vena cava indicative of 0–5 vs 5–10 vs 10–20 mmHg and an indexed left ventricular diastolic volume of 32 ml/m2. The score has AUC: 0.62, specificity: 92%, sensitivity: 33%, negative predictive value: 70%, positive predictive value: 69%. 2. Independent echocardiographic predictors of low-risk CI/SvO2 were: S wave at TDI, Tei index, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE), indexed left ventricular diastolic volume and the severity of the tricuspid regurgitation. We elaborated a score utilizing these parameter cut-offs: an S wave at TDI of 9.5 cm/s, a Tei index of 0.4, a TAPSE of 1.7 cm, an indexed left ventricular diastolic volume of 32 ml/m2 and a mild vs more than mild tricuspid regurgitation. The score has AUC: 0.70, specificity: 89%, sensitivity: 50%, negative predictive value: 71%, positive predictive value: 77%. Conclusion Echocardiographic parameters can be used to rule out the presence of low-risk BNP/RAP values (indexed right atrial area, mitral E/A ratio, dimension and inspiratory collapse of inferior vena cava and indexed left ventricular diastolic volume) and low-risk CI/SvO2 (S wave at TDI, Tei index, TAPSE, indexed left ventricular diastolic volume and severity of tricuspid regurgitation). FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.

Background Current pulmonary hypertension (PH) guidelines stratify the risk of patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) using a multiparametric approach. Low, intermediate and high-risk are defined by estimated 1-year mortality of <5%, 5–10% and >10%, respectively. This risk assessment has been recently validated in 3 cohorts of PAH patients and a simplified risk table for patients with idiopathic/heritable (I/H) PAH and PAH associated with connective tissue disease (CTD) and congenital heart disease (CHD) has been recently proposed and validated. However, with this method most of the patients are classified in the intermediate risk category and additional strategies are required to further stratify this group of PAH patients. Purpose To evaluate the prognostic value of SVI measured with right heart catheterization (RHC) in patients at intermediate-risk. Methods All treatment naïve patients with I/H-PAH, CTD-PAH and CHD-PAH referred to a single centre were included from 2003 to 2017. All patients were assessed at baseline and at the 1st follow-up at 3–4 months after starting PAH-specific therapy (1st F-UP) with RHC, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) plasma levels, 6-min walking distance (6MWD) and WHO functional class. We applied a simplified risk assessment strategy using the following criteria: WHO functional class, 6MWD, right atrial pressure or BNP plasma levels and cardiac index (CI) or mixed venous oxygen saturation (SvO2). The last 2 criteria were based on which parameter was available; if both were available the worst was chosen. Risk strata were defined as: Low risk= at least 3 low risk and no high-risk criteria; High risk= at least 2 high risk criteria including CI or SvO2; Intermediate risk= definitions of low or high risk not fulfilled. The prognostic value of SVI was assessed using Cox regression analysis. Intermediate risk patients were further stratified in intermediate-low and intermediate-high risk taking into account the value of SVI that best discriminate prognosis (according to ROC curve analysis). Kaplan Meier curves and Log-rank test were used for survival analysis. Results Seven hundreds and twenty-five patients were enrolled. SVI is able to stratify the prognosis of PAH patients at 1st F-UP [HR 0.979 (0.964–0.994), p-value= 0.008] but not at baseline [HR 0.986 (0.970–1.002), p-value= 0.085]. The best predictive cut-off value is 38 ml/m2 (AUC= 0.66, sensitivity= 73%, specificity= 59%). Survival curves are shown in the Figure. Figure 1 Conclusions SVI assessed at 1st F-UP is predictive of prognosis and the cut off value of 38 ml/m2 is able to further stratify the survival of intermediate risk PAH patients. Acknowledgement/Funding None