Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is heterogeneous with regard to genic and allelic heterogeneity, as well as phenotypic variability. The genotype-phenotype relationship in ADPKD is not completely understood. Here, we studied 741 patients with ADPKD from 519 pedigrees in the Genkyst cohort and confirmed that renal survival associated with PKD2 mutations was approximately 20 years longer than that associated with PKD1 mutations. The median age at onset of ESRD was 58 years for PKD1 carriers and 79 years for PKD2 carriers. Regarding the allelic effect on phenotype, in contrast to previous studies, we found that the type of PKD1 mutation, but not its position, correlated strongly with renal survival. The median age at onset of ESRD was 55 years for carriers of a truncating mutation and 67 years for carriers of a nontruncating mutation. This observation allows the integration of genic and allelic effects into a single scheme, which may have prognostic value.

The course of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) varies among individuals, with some reaching ESRD before 40 years of age and others never requiring RRT. In this study, we developed a prognostic model to predict renal outcomes in patients with ADPKD on the basis of genetic and clinical data. We conducted a crosssectional study of 1341 patients from the Genkyst cohort and evaluated the influence of clinical and genetic factors on renal survival. Multivariate survival analysis identified four variables that were significantly associated with age at ESRD onset, and a scoring system from 0 to 9 was developed as follows: being male: 1 point; hypertension before 35 years of age: 2 points; first urologic event before 35 years of age: 2 points; PKD2 mutation: 0 points; nontruncating PKD1 mutation: 2 points; and truncating PKD1 mutation: 4 points. Three risk categories were subsequently defined as low risk (0-3 points), intermediate risk (4-6 points), and high risk (7-9 points) of progression to ESRD, with corresponding median ages for ESRD onset of 70.6, 56.9, and 49 years, respectively. Whereas a score #3 eliminates evolution to ESRD before 60 years of age with a negative predictive value of 81.4%, a score .6 forecasts ESRD onset before 60 years of age with a positive predictive value of 90.9%. This new prognostic score accurately predicts renal outcomes in patients with ADPKD and may enable the personalization of therapeutic management of ADPKD.

To evaluate the efficacy and tolerance of a calcineurin inhibitor (CNI)-free regimen, 145 renal recipients were prospectively randomized to receive either sirolimus (n = 71) or cyclosporine (CsA; n = 74). All patients received polyclonal antilymphocyte antibodies, mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) and steroids (6 months). The primary endpoint, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was not significantly different at 12 months comparing sirolimus-and CsA-treated patients (60 ± 27 vs. 57 ± 21 mL/min). At 12 months, patient and graft survival, incidence of biopsy-proven rejection and rates of steroid withdrawal were not statistically different (97% vs. 97%; 90% vs. 93%; 14.3% vs. 8.6% and 82.8% vs. 84.1%, respectively). Delayed and slow graft function (SGF) was not significantly different (18.6% vs. 12.3% and 11.4% vs. 13.7%, respectively). In patients who remained on treatment according to protocol at 12 months, eGFR was significantly higher with sirolimus (69 ± 19 vs. 60 ± 14 mL/min, p = 0.01). Overall study drug discontinuation rates were 28.2% with sirolimus and 14.9% with CsA. Adverse events (wound complications, mouth ulcers, diarrhea, hypokalemia, bronchopneumonia) and proteinuria >0.5 g/24h (38.8% vs. 5.6%, p < 0.001) were significantly more frequent in sirolimus-treated patients. Cytomegalovirus (CMV) infections were significantly less frequent with sirolimus (6% vs. 23%, p < 0.01). A CNI-free regimen using sirolimus-MMF can achieve excellent renal function, but patients on sirolimus experienced a high rate of adverse events and study drug discontinuation.

Our observed rate of medication NA in France is consistent with rates reported in previous studies. We found variability in NA risk factors over time as well as an unexpected risk factor (simple treatment regimens). These findings will be useful in developing effective adherence-promoting interventions.