S ince the recognition of the first cases of at the end of 2019 in Wuhan, China, SARS-CoV-2 has spread rapidly across the globe. By late November 2021, almost 260 million confirmed cases, including at least 5 million deaths, had been reported (1). Cases from Africa represent only 3.4% of those cases worldwide (1,2), but serologic surveys demonstrate that the extent of SARS-CoV-2 spread in Africa is higher (3). After the first pandemic wave, overall seroprevalence in Africa was estimated at ≈22%, ranging from <1% to >70% depending on country and study population (3). The few studies reporting data after the second wave in Africa demonstrated a rapid increase to >50% seroprevalence (4-6). Underestimation of CO-VID-19 cases was most likely caused by weak healthcare infrastructure, low or no access to diagnostic testing, and higher proportions of paucisymptomatic or asymptomatic disease related to younger population or cross-reactive immunity from other coronavirus infections. The overall objective of our study was to evaluate the effect of the second wave of COVID-19 on SARS-COV-2 seroprevalence in the general population of Yaoundé, the capital city of Cameroon.
The StudyWe conducted 2 population-based seroprevalence surveys in Yaoundé during January 27-February 6, 2021 (survey 1) and April 24-May 19, 2021 (survey 2). We adapted the study design from the World Health Organization population-based age-stratified seroepidemiologic investigation protocol for COV-ID-19 infection, version 2.0 (7). We randomly selected households in 6 of the 7 health districts in Yaoundé, with a probability of being selected proportional to the population number in each enumeration area (Appendix Figure 1, https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/EID/ article/28/6/21-2580-App1.pdf). In 50% of households, we invited all residents to participate; among the remaining 50%, we invited only residents >40 years of age. We calculated sample size to estimate
Objectives
Evidence comparing the economic and patient values of the World Health Organization’s preferred (dolutegravir 50 mg [DTG]-based) and alternative (low-dose [400 mg] efavirenz [EFV400]-based) first-line antiretroviral regimens is limited. We compared patient-reported outcomes (PROs), costs, and the cost-utility of DTG- versus EFV400-based regimens in treatment-naive HIV-1 adults in the randomised NAMSAL ANRS 12313 trial in Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Methods
We used clinical data, PROs, and health resource use data collected in the trial’s first 96 weeks (2016–2019). Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were computed using utility scores obtained from the 12-item Short Form (SF-12) generic health scale. Other PROs included perceived symptoms, depression, anxiety, and stress. In the 96-week base-case analysis, we estimated the unadjusted and multivariate-adjusted (1) mean costs (in US$, 2016 values) and QALYs/patient, (2) incremental costs and QALYs/patient, and (3) net health benefit (NHB). Outcomes were extrapolated over 5 and 10 years. Uncertainty was assessed using the cost-effectiveness acceptability curve and scenario and cost-effective price threshold analyses.
Results
In the base-case analysis, the NHB (95% confidence interval) for the DTG-based regimen relative to the EFV400-based regimen was 0.056 (− 0.037 to 0.153), corresponding to an 88% probability of DTG being cost-effective. A 10% decrease in this regimen’s price (from $5.2 to $4.7/month) would increase its cost-effectiveness probability to 95%. When extrapolating outcomes over 5 and 10 years, the DTG-based regimen had a 100% probability of being cost-effective for a large range of cost-effectiveness thresholds.
Conclusions
At 2020 antiretroviral drug prices, a DTG-based first-line regimen should be preferred over an EFV400-based regimen in sub-Saharan Africa.
Trial Registration
ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02777229.
Supplementary Information
The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40273-020-00987-3.
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