Pre-hypertension is a major risk factor for hypertension. African Americans (blacks) have more prevalent and severe hypertension than whites, but it is unknown whether progression from pre-hypertension is accelerated in blacks. We examined this question in a prospective cohort study of 18,865 non-hypertensive persons (5,733 [30.4% black, 13,132 [69.6%]) white) 18–85 years old. Electronic health record data were obtained from 197 community-based outpatient clinics in the Southeast U.S. Days elapsing from study entry to hypertension diagnosis, mainly blood pressure [BP] ≥140 systolic and/or ≥90 mmHg diastolic on two consecutive visits established conversion time within a maximum observation period of 2550 days. Cox regression modeling was used to examine conversion to hypertension as a function of race, while controlling for age, sex, baseline systolic and diastolic BP, body mass index [BMI], diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease. The covariable adjusted median conversion time when 50% became hypertensive was 365 days earlier for blacks than whites (626 vs 991 days, p<0.001). Among covariables, baseline systolic BP 130–139 (Hazard Ratio 1.77, 95% Confidence Intervals [1.69–1.86]) and 120–129 mmHg (1.52 [1.44–1.60] as well as age ≥75 (1.40 [1.29–1.51] and 55–74 years (1.29 [1.23–1.35] were the strongest predictors of hypertension. Additional predictors included age 35–54 years, diastolic BP 80–89 mmHg, overweight and obesity, and diabetes mellitus (all p<0.001). Conversion from pre-hypertension to hypertension is accelerated in blacks, which suggests that effective interventions in pre-hypertension could reduce racial disparities in prevalent hypertension.

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