We analyze …nancial risk premiums and real economic dynamics in a DSGE model with three types of agents -shareholders, bondholders and workers -that di¤er in participation in the capital market and in attitude towards risk and intertemporal substitution. Aggregate productivity and distribution risks are transferred across these
We analyze …nancial risk premiums and real economic dynamics in a DSGE model with three types of agents -shareholders, bondholders and workers -that di¤er in participation in the capital market and in attitude towards risk and intertemporal substitution. Aggregate productivity and distribution risks are transferred across these
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NATIONAL BANK OF BELGIUM WORKING PAPERS -RESEARCH SERIES THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES IN A DSGE MODEL
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Marina Emiris (*)The views expressed in this paper are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bank of Belgium. All remaining errors are the author's. The purpose of these working papers is to promote the circulation of research results (Research Series) and analytical studies (Documents Series) made within the National Bank of Belgium or presented by external economists in seminars, conferences and conventions organised by the Bank. The aim is therefore to provide a platform for discussion. The opinions expressed are strictly those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bank of Belgium. When the model is estimated under the restriction that the implied average 10-year term premium matches the observed premium, it turns out that risk aversion and habit only need to rise slightly, while the increase in the term premium is achieved by a drop in the monetary policy parameter that governs the aggressiveness of the monetary policy rule. A less aggressive policy increases the persistence of the reaction of inflation and the short interest rate to any shock, reinforces the covariance between the marginal rate of substitution of consumption and bond prices, turns positive the contribution of the inflation premium and drives the term premium up. The paper concludes that by generating persistent inflation the presence of nominal rigidities can help in reconciling the macro model with the yield curve data. JEL-code : E43; E44, G12.
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