COVID-19 is an extremely dangerous disease that not only spreads quickly, but is also characterized by a high mortality rate. Therefore, predicting the number of deaths from the new coronavirus is an urgent task. The aim of the study is to analyze the factors affecting COVID-19 mortality rate in various countries, to predict direct and indirect victims of the pandemic in the Russian Federation, and to estimate additional mortality during the pandemic based on the demographic data. The main research method is econometric modeling. Comparison of various data was also applied. The authors' calculations were based on data from the RSSS, the World Bank, as well as specialized sites with coronavirus statistics in Russia and in the world. A predictive estimation of the deceased number of people due to the pandemic in Russia was made. It is confirmed that the deaths proportion of the completed cases of the disease depends on the level of testing. It is shown that the revealed mortality of the disease depends on the proportion of completed cases, on the population age structure, and on how early the pandemic entered the country compared to the other countries. It is determined that the number of additional deaths due to the coronavirus is approximately 31 thousand people. The analysis revealed that the relatively low proportion of COVID in Russia is the result of a special approach to the cause of death determination. The mortality rate in Russia in April 2020 was about 3% higher than in April 2019. The share of the deceased health workers in the total coronavirus mortality in the Russian Federation is higher than in the developed countries, which indicates an underestimation of the data on COVID- 19 deaths in the Russian Federation, and the unsatisfactory quality of the Russian healthcare system. The number of direct and indirect victims of the pandemic in the Russian Federation at the end of July was approximately 43 thousand people.

The aim of the paper is to analyze the possible impact of various aspects of internal and external migration in regions of Russia on the prevalence of the following social dangerous diseases: HIV, active tuberculosis, syphilis, drug addiction, acute and chronic viral hepatitis B and C. We analyzed the papers that concern the impact of migration on the health of the host territory population. The main research methods are econometric and correlation analysis. We constructed panel models for each disease. The models tested various socioeconomic indicators (including education level, cash income, housing improvements and the incidence of alcoholism), as well as climatic, geographical and demographic indicators. Influence of disease incidence in the neighbouring regions is also considered. Five various indicators of migration were tested. They characterize labour immigration, internal and external migration inflows to the regions and share of people born outside the region. We tried to track changes of factors that influence spread of diseases over time. It allowed us to correct the conclusions drawn earlier. In the course of the research, positive significant statistical correlation of the following indicators of migration and disease incidence was established: 1) foreign citizens employment and incidence of syphilis in 2005; 2) share of internal migrants and incidence of drug addiction in 2005; 3) foreign citizens employment and incidence of drug addiction in 2006-2016; 4) foreign citizens inflow and detection of chronic viral hepatitis in 2010; 5) foreign citizens inflow and detection of acute hepatitis C in 2011-2016.

Современные дискуссии о свободе передвижения уходят корнями в период конца XIX — начала XX в. По мнению Людвига фон Мизеса, отношение государства к свободе передвижения людей неразрывно связано с его отношением к частной собственности, свободе передвижения товаров и капитала, а также к защите прав личности и собственности. На основе подхода Мизеса в статье выделено пять основных типов экономической и миграционной политики: анархия — либерализм — протекционизм — дирижизм — тоталитаризм. Рассматриваются аргументы за и против свободы передвижения с позиций либерализма, протекционизма и дирижизма. Показано, что в одном государстве могут смешиваться черты различных типов экономической и миграционной политики. Хотя в целом «правило Мизеса» верно и сегодня: чем дальше от либерализма в экономике, тем меньше свободы передвижения в привлекательной для иммиграции стране. При этом для эффективности либеральной миграционной политики необходим последовательный либерализм в экономике.