This study performed an analysis of the influence of the training and test set rational selection on the quality and predictively of the quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) model. The study was carried out on three different datasets of Influenza Neuraminidase (H1N1) inhibitors. The three datasets were divided into training and test sets using three rational selection methods: based on k-means, Kennard-Stone algorithm and Activity and the results were compared with Random selection. Then, a total of 31,490 mathematical models were developed and those models that presented a determination coefficient higher than: r > 0.8, r > 0.7, r > 0.5 and minimum standard deviation (SD) and minimum root-mean square error (RMS) were selected. The selected models were validated using the internal leave-one-out method and the predictive capacity was evaluated by the external test set. The results indicate that random selection could lead to erroneous results. In return, a rational selection allows for obtaining more reliable conclusions. The QSAR models with major predictive power were found using the k-means algorithm and selection by activity.
Present work employs the QSAR formalism to predict the ED50 anticonvulsant activity of ringed-enaminones, in order to apply these relationships for the prediction of unknown open-chain compounds containing the same types of functional groups in their molecular structure. Two different modeling approaches are applied with the purpose of comparing the consistency of our results: (a) the search of molecular descriptors via multivariable linear regressions; and (b) the calculation of flexible descriptors with the CORAL (CORrelation And Logic) program. Among the results found, we propose some potent candidate open-chain enaminones having ED50 values lower than 10 mg·kg−1 for corresponding pharmacological studies. These compounds are classified as Class 1 and Class 2 according to the Anticonvulsant Selection Project.
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