The Moran process on graphs is a popular model to study the dynamics of evolution in a spatially structured population. Exact analytical solutions for the fixation probability and time of a new mutant have been found for only a few classes of graphs so far. Simulations are time-expensive and many realizations are necessary, as the variance of the fixation times is high. We present an algorithm that numerically computes these quantities for arbitrary small graphs by an approach based on the transition matrix. The advantage over simulations is that the calculation has to be executed only once. Building the transition matrix is automated by our algorithm. This enables a fast and interactive study of different graph structures and their effect on fixation probability and time. We provide a fast implementation in C with this note [11]. Our code is very flexible, as it can handle two different update mechanisms (Birth-death or death-Birth), as well as arbitrary directed or undirected graphs.
Population structure can be modeled by evolutionary graphs, which can have a substantial influence on the fate of mutants. Individuals are located on the nodes of these graphs, competing to take over the graph via the links. Applications for this framework range from the ecology of river systems and cancer initiation in colonic crypts to biotechnological search for optimal mutations. In all these applications, both the probability of fixation and the associated time are of interest. We study this problem for all undirected and unweighted graphs up to a certain size. We devise a genetic algorithm to find graphs with high or low fixation probability and short or long fixation time and study their structure searching for common themes. Our work unravels structural properties that maximize or minimize fixation probability and time, which allows us to contribute to a first map of the universe of evolutionary graphs.
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