Precise estimates of epileptogenic zone networks (EZNs) are crucial for planning intervention strategies to treat drug-resistant focal epilepsy. Here, we present the virtual epileptic patient (VEP), a workflow that uses personalized brain models and machine learning methods to estimate EZNs and to aid surgical strategies. The structural scaffold of the patient-specific whole-brain network model is constructed from anatomical T1 and diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging. Each network node is equipped with a mathematical dynamical model to simulate seizure activity. Bayesian inference methods sample and optimize key parameters of the personalized model using functional stereoelectroencephalography recordings of patients’ seizures. These key parameters together with their personalized model determine a given patient’s EZN. Personalized models were further used to predict the outcome of surgical intervention using virtual surgeries. We evaluated the VEP workflow retrospectively using 53 patients with drug-resistant focal epilepsy. VEPs reproduced the clinically defined EZNs with a precision of 0.6, where the physical distance between epileptogenic regions identified by VEP and the clinically defined EZNs was small. Compared with the resected brain regions of 25 patients who underwent surgery, VEP showed lower false discovery rates in seizure-free patients (mean, 0.028) than in non–seizure-free patients (mean, 0.407). VEP is now being evaluated in an ongoing clinical trial (EPINOV) with an expected 356 prospective patients with epilepsy.
Objective The virtual epileptic patient (VEP) is a large‐scale brain modeling method based on virtual brain technology, using stereoelectroencephalography (SEEG), anatomical data (magnetic resonance imaging [MRI] and connectivity), and a computational neuronal model to provide computer simulations of a patient's seizures. VEP has potential interest in the presurgical evaluation of drug‐resistant epilepsy by identifying regions most likely to generate seizures. We aimed to assess the performance of the VEP approach in estimating the epileptogenic zone and in predicting surgical outcome. Methods VEP modeling was retrospectively applied in a cohort of 53 patients with pharmacoresistant epilepsy and available SEEG, T1‐weighted MRI, and diffusion‐weighted MRI. Precision recall was used to compare the regions identified as epileptogenic by VEP (EZVEP) to the epileptogenic zone defined by clinical analysis incorporating the Epileptogenicity Index (EI) method (EZC). In 28 operated patients, we compared the VEP results and clinical analysis with surgical outcome. Results VEP showed a precision of 64% and a recall of 44% for EZVEP detection compared to EZC. There was a better concordance of VEP predictions with clinical results, with higher precision (77%) in seizure‐free compared to non‐seizure‐free patients. Although the completeness of resection was significantly correlated with surgical outcome for both EZC and EZVEP, there was a significantly higher number of regions defined as epileptogenic exclusively by VEP that remained nonresected in non‐seizure‐free patients. Significance VEP is the first computational model that estimates the extent and organization of the epileptogenic zone network. It is characterized by good precision in detecting epileptogenic regions as defined by a combination of visual analysis and EI. The potential impact of VEP on improving surgical prognosis remains to be exploited. Analysis of factors limiting the performance of the actual model is crucial for its further development.
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