Aims/hypothesisWe analysed the temporal changes in the incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes and its demographic determinants in Poland from 1989 to 2004, validating the model with data from 1970 to 1989. We also estimated a predictive model of the trends in childhood diabetes incidence for the near future.MethodsChildren under 15 years with newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes mellitus and drawn from seven regional registries in Poland were ascertained prospectively using the Epidemiology and Prevention of Diabetes study (EURODIAB) criteria. The type 1 diabetes incidence rates (IRs) were analysed in dependency of age, sex, seasonality, geographical region and population density. Time trends in IR were modelled using several approaches.ResultsThe average incidence, standardised by age and sex, for 1989 to 2004 was 10.2 per 100,000 persons per year and increased from 5.4 to 17.7. No difference was found between boys and girls, or between urban and rural regions. In children above 4 years, IR was significantly higher in the population of northern Poland than in that of the country’s southern part, as well as in the autumn–winter season, this finding being independent of child sex. Based on the trend model obtained, almost 1,600 Polish children aged 0 to 14 years are expected to develop type 1 diabetes in 2010, rising to more than 4,800 in 2025. The estimates suggest at least a fourfold increase of IR between 2005 and 2025, with the highest dynamics of this increment in younger children.Conclusions/interpretationThese estimates show that Poland will have to face a twofold higher increase in childhood type 1 diabetes than predicted for the whole European population. The dramatic increase could have real downstream effects on Poland’s healthcare system.

• The incidence of pediatric type 1 diabetes mellitus in Europe is increasing. The initial manifestation of the type 1 diabetes mellitus is diabetic ketoacidosis. What is New: • This is the longest (26 years) continuous analysis of the incidence of type 1 diabetes in Poland and the first analysis focused on the incidence rate and also on presence of diabetic ketoacidosis.

Alström syndrome (AS) is a rare syndromic form of obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D) in children coexisting with retinal dystrophy and disorders of many organs caused by the mutations in ALMS1 gene. Aim of this study was to identify the causative mutations in ALMS1 in a group of 12 patients of Polish origin with clinical symptoms of AS, and their 21 first-degree relatives. Using DNA sequencing, nine different mutations including three novel were identified. These mutations were not present in 212 Polish individuals with no symptoms of AS, subjected to whole-exome sequencing and collected in a national registry. Looking for genotype-phenotype relationships, we confirmed a severe phenotype in a boy with homozygous mutation in exon 16, and a relationship between a presence of T2D and mutations in exon 19. Evaluation of the type of mutation and its clinical effects gives hope for earlier diagnosis of AS in future patients and more advanced therapeutic approaches for patients with already diagnosed AS.

The aim of this study was to evaluate the trends in the incidence of type 1 diabetes mellitus (DM) in children aged 0-14 years between 1987 and 1999 in three cities in Poland. The study area comprised the provinces of Cracow and Wroclaw and the city of Warsaw. The data were collected prospectively on the basis of the register within the framework of the EURODIAB study up till 1997 and then within the project of the Ministry of Health. During the 13 years of the study period, 766 children (380 girls, 386 boys) with newly diagnosed type 1 DM were identified. The overall age-standardized incidence rates were 8.4/100,000 standardized population/year (95% CI 7.4-9.3) for Cracow province, 6.5/100,000/year (95% CI 5.6-7.4) for Wroclaw province and 7.9/100,000/year (95% CI 6.9-8.8) for Warsaw. A significant trend of increase for children aged 0-14 years was found in the three cities. The analysis of the trend in age subgroups showed a significant increase in incidence in all three age subgroups in Warsaw and Cracow province (0-4 year-old children, p <0.05; 5-9 year-olds, p <0.001 in Cracow province, p <0.05 in Warsaw, and in 10-14 year-olds, p <0.05 in Cracow province, p <0.005 in Warsaw). In the Wroclaw province a significant increase was observed in children aged 0-4 years (p <0.05) and 5-9 years (p <0.001). In children aged 10-14 years the increase was not statistically significant. The results of our study showed that the incidence of type 1 DM in children is rising. A similar phenomenon is occurring in many other countries. The greatest increase of incidence was observed in the 5-9 year-old subgroup of children in Cracow and Wroclaw provinces and in children aged 10-14 years in Warsaw. The incidence rates in excess of 9.0/100,000 per year observed since 1996 have placed Poland in the group of countries with low to medium incidence.

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