Objective:Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD) is a rare progressive disease, which is often diagnosed in early childhood, and leads to considerably reduced life-expectancy; due to its rarity, research literature and patient numbers are limited. To fully characterise the natural history, it is crucial to obtain appropriate estimates of the life-expectancy and mortality rates of patients with DMD.Methods:A systematic review of the published literature on mortality in DMD up until July 2020 was undertaken, specifically focusing on publications in which Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival curves with age as a time-scale were presented. These were digitised and individual patient data (IPD) reconstructed. The pooled IPD were analysed using the Kaplan-Meier estimator and parametric survival analysis models. Estimates were also stratified by birth cohort.Results:Of 1177 articles identified, 14 publications met the inclusion criteria and provided data on 2283 patients, of whom 1049 had died. Median life-expectancy was 22.0 years (95% CI: 21.2, 22.4). Analyses stratifying by three time-periods in which patients were born showed markedly increased life-expectancy in more recent patient populations; patients born after 1990 have a median life-expectancy of 28.1 years (95% CI 25.1, 30.3).Conclusions:This paper presents a full overview of mortality across the lifetime of a patient with DMD, and highlights recent improvements in survival. In the absence of large-scale prospective cohort studies or trials reporting mortality data for patients with DMD, extraction of IPD from the literature provides a viable alternative to estimating life-expectancy for this patient population.

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