Credit risk is one of the major risks in banking operations now-a-days. For sustainable financial performance, credit risk management is of crucial importance. Non-performing loans are the major element of credit risk that negatively affects the banking performance. To cater such risk, banks have to maintain certain percentage of capital as cushion with central bank as per BASEL requirements. Efficient credit risk management contributes positively towards banking profitability. This study aims to investigate, how credit risk and capital adequacy affects the performance of commercial banks in Pakistan. This study identifies the exposure of Pakistani commercial banks towards credit risk and impact of credit risk management practices for 6 years. The findings of this study help the risk managers to ensure prudent credit risk management practices that will help in reducing non-performing loans and improving banking performance.

Equity risk premium contains the property of reflecting the fundamental judgments of individuals regarding risk that might exists in the economic market and the price associated with that risk. For ERP forecasting, attention is also devoted to technical indicators apart from the macro-economic variables. A set of 14 technical and 14 macro-economic variables is selected for this purpose and based on a standard predictive regression framework; all forecasts are generated by regressing ERP on a constant and a lag of macro-economic or technical indicator. It is found that as compared to macro-economic variables technical indicators provide better indications about ERP estimates. By using National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) data of business cycle expansion and recessions, relative strength of ERP predictability is also investigated and it is found more than twice for recessions as compare to expansions.