Two major marine surveys off northern Papua New Guinea (PNG) earlier this year now suggest, when survivors' reports are taken into account, that last summer's disastrous tsunami there was caused by a sediment slump 25 km offshore. The slump was probably the result of seabed shaking from an earthquake. Not only was a sediment slump, or submarine landslide, responsible for the tsunami, according to the data, but the magnitude and wave‐height distribution of the tsunami along the coast were the result of focusing by local seabed morphology.
The conclusions are based on new off‐shore bathymetry, remote operated vehicle (ROV) dive investigations, the time delay between the source earthquake and when the tsunami struck, computer simulation models, and earthquake aftershock distribution. The most critical evidence is in survivors' accounts of the timing of the tsunami relative to the initially felt earthquake and aftershock [see Davies, 1998a].
Abstract. On 27 February 2010, a megathrust earthquake of M w = 8.8 generated a destructive tsunami in Chile. It struck not only Chilean coast but propagated all the way to Japan. After the event occurred, the post-tsunami survey team was assembled, funded by the Japan Science and Technology Agency (JST), to survey the area severely affected by the tsunami. The tsunami damaged and destroyed numerous houses, especially in the town of Dichato. In order to estimate the structural fragility against tsunami hazard in this area, tsunami fragility curves were developed. Surveyed data of inundation depth and visual inspection of satellite images of Dichato were used to classify the damage to housing. A practical method suitable when there are limitations on available data for numerical simulation or damage evaluation from surveys is presented here. This study is the first application of tsunami fragility curves on the South American Pacific coast and it might be of practical use for communities with similar characteristics along the west Pacific coast. The proposed curve suggests that structures in Dichato will be severely damaged -with a 68 % probability -already at 2 m tsunami inundation depth.
Abstract. The 1998 Papua New Guinea tsunami was greater than expected from its earthquake magnitude. The area of significant impact was small, approximately a 30 km stretch near the mouth of Sissano Lagoon, Papua New Guinea. To explain the localized nature of the event, a submarine landslide has been conjectured to be responsible. Our study indicates that offshore bathymetry is critical to predicting tsunami coastal behavior. Model runs with newly obtained bathymetric data indicate that an earthquake fault source combined with the existing seafloor geometry may also explain the concentrated tsunami. Although the definitive cause of the Papua New Guinea tsunami remains uncertain, local bathymetry had a notable effect on the wave behavior.
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