The prediction of nodal electricity price (NEP) is a primary step to be done before the bidding process starts in the actual market environment. NEP plays a significant role for the efficient working of the electrical system. NEP follows a common trend as during peak hours when the load is high the price will also be high similarly during off-peak-load times the price will be lower and common to all the node. Thus, accurate forecasting of the NEP can help electricity generation companies to be more proactive in the wholesale electricity market to maximize its overall benefits. In this paper, exponential smoothing (ES), and holt’s exponential smoothing (HES) have been utilized for forecasting the NEP. Furthermore, a comparative analysis between ES and HES has been done considering several alpha values and several trends. The model evaluation and the forecasting performance have been tested using different parameters of ES, and HES techniques such as Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Akaike Information Criterion Corrected (AICc), Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC). The performance of the proposed technique has been authenticated efficaciously on average nodal real-time price data collected from ISO New England (BOSTON Zone).
Distribution system has been the weakest link in the entire power system supply chain. It is also one of the most vital parts of the power system. However, a lot of methods have been developed to improve the condition of the distribution system. The use of distributed generations (DGs) is one such method where the generated power is closer to the load center, and the DG is also providing ancillary services to the grid. The nodal electricity price for DGs location is determined based on the Locational Marginal Price (LMP). LMP implies the price to buy and sell power at each node within electrical distribution markets. In the nodal electricity market (EM), the cost of energy is determined by the location of DG to which it is provided. This paper presents a novel approach that utilizes nodal electricity price for optimal sizing and location (OSL) of DGs. A multi-objective ANTLION optimization (MOALO) has been utilized as an optimization approach to compute the OSL of DGs units. ANTLION optimization (ALO) is based on the unique hunting behaviour of antlions. Optimization has been done for social welfare maximization, loss minimization, and voltage profile improvement in distribution networks (DNs). The results of the proposed technique have been evaluated for IEEE 33 bus DNs.
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