General circulation model (GCM) biases are one of the important sources of biases and uncertainty in dynamic downscaling-based simulations. The ability of regional climate models to simulate tropical cyclones (TCs) is strongly affected by the ability of GCMs to simulate the large-scale environmental field. Thus, in this work, we employ a recently developed multivariable integrated evaluation method to assess the performance of 33 CMIP6 (phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project) models in simulating multiple fields. The CMIP6 models are quantitatively evaluated against two reanalysis datasets over five ocean areas. The results show that most of the CMIP6 models overestimate the mid-level humidity in almost all tropical oceans. The multi-model ensemble mean overestimates the vertical shear of the horizontal winds in the Northeast Pacific and North Atlantic. An increase in model horizontal resolution appears to be helpful in improving the model simulations. For example, there are 6-8 models with higher resolution among the top 10 models in terms of overall model performance in simulating the climatology and interannual variability of multiple variables. Similarly, there are 7-8 models with lower resolution among the bottom 10 patterns. The model skill varies depending on the region and variable being evaluated. Although no model performs best in all regions and for all variables, some models do show relatively good capability in simulating the large-scale environmental field of TCs. For example, the MPI-ESM1-2-LR, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, and FIO-ESM-2-0 models show relatively good skill in simulating the climatology and interannual variability of the large-scale environmental field in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres.
Abstract. An evaluation of a model's overall performance in simulating multiple fields is fundamental to model intercomparison and development. A multivariable integrated evaluation (MVIE) method was proposed previously based on a vector field evaluation (VFE) diagram, which can provide quantitative and comprehensive evaluation on multiple fields. In this study, we make further improvements to this method from the following aspects. (1) We take area weighting into account in the definition of statistics in the VFE diagram and MVIE method, which is particularly important for a global evaluation. (2) We consider the combination of multiple scalar fields and vector fields against multiple scalar fields alone in the previous MVIE method. (3) A multivariable integrated skill score (MISS) is proposed as a flexible index to measure a model's ability to simulate multiple fields. Compared with the multivariable integrated evaluation index (MIEI) proposed in the previous study, MISS is a normalized index that can adjust the relative importance of different aspects of model performance. (4) A simple-to-use and straightforward tool, the Multivariable Integrated Evaluation Tool (MVIETool version 1.0), is developed to facilitate an intercomparison of the performance of various models. Users can use the tool coded either with the open-source NCAR Command Language (NCL) or Python3 to calculate the MVIE statistics and plotting. With the support of this tool, one can easily evaluate model performance in terms of each individual variable and/or multiple variables.
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