Background: Critically ill neonates are at greater risk for adverse drug reactions (ADRs). The differentiation of ADRs from reactions associated with organ dysfunction/immaturity or genetic variability is difficult. Methods: In this prospective cohort study, each ADR was assessed using newborn-specific severity and probability scales by the clinical pharmacist. Subsequently, a machine learning-based risk score was designed to predict ADR presence in neonates. Results: In 98/412 (23.8%) of (56.3%; male) neonates included, 187 ADRs (0.42 ADR/patient) were determined related to 49 different drugs (37.12%). Drugs identified as high risk were enoxaparin, dexmedetomidine, vinblastine, dornase alfa, etoposide/carboplatin and prednisolone. The independent variables included in the risk score to predict ADR presence, according to the random forest importance criterion, were: systemic hormones (2 points), cardiovascular drugs (3 points), diseases of the circulatory system (1 point), nervous system drugs (1 point), and parenteral nutrition treatment (1 point), (cut-off value: 3 points). This risk score correctly classified 91.1% of the observations in the test set (c-index: 0.914). Conclusions: Using the high-performing risk score specific to neonates, it is expected that high-risk neonatal ADRs can be determined and prevented before they occur. Moreover, the awareness of clinicians of these drugs can be improved with this web-tool, and mitigation strategies (change of drug, dose, treatment duration, etc.) can be considered, based on a benefit-harm relationship for suspected drugs with a newborn-centered approach.
Aim: To develop models that predict the presence of medication errors (MEs) (prescription, preparation, administration, and monitoring) using machine learning in NICU patients.Design: Prospective, observational cohort study randomized with machine learning (ML) algorithms.Setting: A 22-bed capacity NICU in Ankara, Turkey, between February 2020 and July 2021.Results: A total of 11,908 medication orders (28.9 orders/patient) for 412 NICU patients (5.53 drugs/patient/day) who received 2,280 prescriptions over 32,925 patient days were analyzed. At least one physician-related ME and nurse-related ME were found in 174 (42.2%) and 235 (57.0%) of the patients, respectively. The parameters that had the highest correlation with ME occurrence and subsequently included in the model were: total number of drugs, anti-infective drugs, nervous system drugs, 5-min APGAR score, postnatal age, alimentary tract and metabolism drugs, and respiratory system drugs as patient-related parameters, and weekly working hours of nurses, weekly working hours of physicians, and number of nurses’ monthly shifts as care provider-related parameters. The obtained model showed high performance to predict ME (AUC: 0.920; 95% CI: 0.876–0.970) presence and is accessible online (http://softmed.hacettepe.edu.tr/NEO-DEER_Medication_Error/).Conclusion: This is the first developed and validated model to predict the presence of ME using work environment and pharmacotherapy parameters with high-performance ML algorithms in NICU patients. This approach and the current model hold the promise of implementation of targeted/precision screening to prevent MEs in neonates.Clinical Trial Registration:ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier NCT04899960.
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