A discrete reaction-diffusion model was used to estimate long-term equilibrium populations of a hypothetical species inhabiting patchy landscapes to examine the relative importance of habitat amount and arrangement in explaining population size. When examined over a broad range of habitat amounts and arrangements, population size was largely determined by a pure amount effect (proportion of habitat in the landscape accounted for >96% of the total variation compared to <1% for the arrangement main effect). However, population response deviated from a pure amount effect as coverage was reduced below 30%-50%. That deviation coincided with a persistence threshold as indicated by a rapid decline in the probability of landscapes supporting viable populations. When we partitioned experimental landscapes into sets of "above" and "below" persistence threshold, habitat arrangement became an important factor in explaining population size below threshold conditions. Regression analysis on below-threshold landscapes using explicit measures of landscape structure (after removing the covariation with habitat amount) indicated that arrangement variables accounted for 33%-39% of the variation in population size, compared to 27%-49% for habitat amount. Thus, habitat arrangement effects became important when species persistence became uncertain due to dispersal mortality.
Wildlife species viability optimization models are developed to convert a given set of initial forest conditions, through a combination of natural growth and management treatments, to a forest system which addresses the joint habitat needs of multispecies populations over time. A linear model of forest cover and wildlife populations is used to form a system of forest management control variables for wildlife habitat modification. The paper examines two objective functions coupled to this system for optimizing sustainable joint species viability. The first maximizes the product of periodic joint viabilities over all time periods, focusing management resources on long‐term equilibria, with less emphasis on conversion strategy. The second iteratively maximizes the minimum periodic joint viability over all time periods. This focuses management resources on the most limiting time periods, typically the conversion phase periods. Both objective functions resulted in either point or cyclic equilibria, with cycle lengths equal to minimum forest treatment ages. A third objective, based on maximizing the minimum individual species periodic viability is used to examine single species emphasis. Examples are developed through a case study of 92 vertebrate species found in coastal Douglas‐fir stands of northwestern California.
A discrete-time reaction-diffusion model for black-footed ferret release, population growth, and dispersal is combined with ferret carrying capacity constraints based on prairie dog population management decisions to form a spatial optimization model. Spatial arrangement of active prairie dog colonies within a ferret reintroduction area is optimized over time for maximum expected adult ferret population, This modeling approach is applied in an exploratory case study to a black-footed ferret reintroduction program in Badlands National Park and Buffalo Gap National Grassland, South Dakota. The model is currently being used to evaluate prairie dog population management alternatives and captive-bred ferret release locations for the Buffalo Gap National Grassland. This approach is also being adapted for use on other grasslands and with other species in the northern Great Plains.
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