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Crisis management must provide data to allow for real-time decision-making. Accurate data is especially needed to minimize the risk of critical infrastructure failure. Research into the possible impacts of critical infrastructure failure is a part of developing a functional and secure infrastructure for each nation state. Road transport is one such sector that has a significant impact on its functions. When this fails, there may be a cascading spread of impacts on the energy, health, and other sectors. In this regard, this paper focuses on the dynamic modeling of the impacts of critical road infrastructure failures. It proposes a dynamic modeling system based on a stochastic approach. Its essence is the macroscopic model-based comparative analysis of a road with a critical element and detour roads. The outputs of this system are planning documents that determine the impacts of functional parameter degradation on detour roads-not only applicable in decision-making concerning the selection of the optimal detour road, but also as a support mechanism in minimising possible risks. In this article we aim to expand the extent of knowledge in the Crisis management and critical infrastructure protection in the road transport sector fields.

Horizontal curves are very problematic elements of the road alignment. The danger of these spots is confirmed by the analysis of accidents, which showed that while on the tangents (straight sections) is an accident resulting in injury or death one of every five, at intersections and curve segments it is one of every three. Share of fatal accidents in curve segments compared to the intersections or direct segments is then more than doubled. The research aims to find potential correlations between different accident’s characteristics and horizontal curves design, which could help predict dangerousness of horizontal elements. Strong correlation was proven between radius of horizontal curve and relative accidental rate. Lower correlation was found between traffic lanes width and relative accidental rate. From gathered data wasn’t proven relationship between relative accidental rate and deflection angle.

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