International guidelines recommend the use of ultrasound as a surveillance tool for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with cirrhosis, while the role of serum biomarkers is still debated. We investigated serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist II (PIVKA-II) and glypican-3 (GPC-3) diagnostic accuracy for HCC detection and prediction in patients with liver cirrhosis of viral etiology under surveillance. A total of 349 patients (200 cirrhosis and 149 HCC) were enrolled. The 200 patients with cirrhosis consisted of 114 patients still HCC-free after 36 months of follow-up and 86 patients that developed HCC after 13.8 (11.0–19.8) months. AFP, PIVKA-II and GPC-3 were measured in serum samples collected at tumor diagnosis in the 149 patients with HCC, and at the beginning of follow-up in the 200 patients with cirrhosis. The higher performance for HCC detection was observed for PIVKA-II (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.790), followed by AFP (AUC = 0.737) and GPC-3 (AUC = 0.637); the combination of AFP + PIVKA-II improved the diagnostic accuracy to AUC = 0.822. Serum PIVKA-II values, but not AFP and GPC-3, were significantly higher in the 86 cirrhotics that developed HCC compared with the 114 cirrhotics still HCC-free after 36 months of follow-up (p = 0.020). PIVKA-II ≥ 55 mAU/mL allowed to identify patients with cirrhosis at higher risk of HCC development (Log-rank test, p < 0.001; adjusted Hazard Ratio = 1.99, p = 0.001). In conclusion, the measurement of PIVKA-II in patients with cirrhosis may be useful to tailor personalized surveillance strategies.
Keratin 19 (K19) is a cancer stem cell marker expressed by a subpopulation of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), associated with tumor aggressiveness. We evaluated the prognostic value of serum K19 fragment (CYFRA 21-1), in comparison or in combination with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and protein induced by vitamin-K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II), in patients with HCC. A total of 160 patients (28F/132M; median age 62, range 44–86 years) with a new diagnosis of HCC and available serum samples collected at tumor diagnosis were analyzed retrospectively. Median overall survival (OS) after HCC diagnosis was 35.1, 95% CI 27.1–70.5 months. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that CYFRA 21-1 > 2.7 ng/mL (hazard ratio (HR) = 3.39, p < 0.001), AFP > 20 ng/mL (HR = 2.27, p = 0.007), and PIVKA-II > 200 mAU/mL (HR = 2.17, p = 0.020) were independent predictors of OS. The combination of biomarkers positivity allowed us to stratify patients with HCC into four risk categories associated with a progressively lower survival probability (log-rank test, p < 0.001). CYFRA 21-1 resulted an independent prognostic factor of patients with HCC and its combination with AFP and PIVKA-II might be useful to tailor personalized treatment strategies.
Background. Obesity, type 2 diabetes (T2D), dyslipidemia, arterial hypertension as well as hepatic steatosis (HS) are common conditions that can affect clinical outcomes of patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) who achieved sustained virological response (SVR). The aim of this study was to assess the impact of metabolic cofactors on the occurrence of clinical events during follow-up (FU) in a group of CHC long term responders (LTRs) to interferon (IFN)-based therapy. Methods. A total of 5172 medical records of CHC patients enrolled from 1990 to 2011 were examined. 1034/5172 (20%) patients were treated with IFN-based therapy and 382/1034 (37%) of them achieved SVR. A total of 188 (49%) LTRs performed liver biopsy before antiviral treatment. Data on liver and cardiometabolic events such as cirrhosis and its complications, hepatocellular carcinoma, coronary artery disease, arterial hypertension, impaired fasting glucose (IFG)/type 2 diabetes (T2D) and dyslipidemia, were collected over time. Results. The mean age of the whole cohort was 46 ± 12 years and 114/188 (61%) patients were males. HS was found in 82/188 (43.6%) patients and most of them were infected by HCV genotype 3a. The prevalence of obesity, IFG/T2D, dyslipidemia and arterial hypertension was 4.3%, 6.9%, 37.2% and 5.9%, and was similarly distributed among patients with and without HS. Cirrhosis was histologically diagnosed in 18/188 (9.6%) patients. After a median follow-up of 11 years (range 3-21), the cumulative incidence of cardiovascular events, IFG/T2D and dyslipidemia was higher in CHC-LTRs who had HS at baseline compared to those without HS (1.2%, 2.3% and 3.0% vs 0.4%; 0.8% and 2.5%, respectively). At multivariable Cox regression analysis, HS was significantly associated to the development of cardiovascular events and IFG/T2D (HR=5.2, 95%CI=1.3-20.7, p=0.019 and HR=2.6, 95%CI=1.1-6.2, p=0.027, respectively). Conclusions. In CHC-LTRs, HS at baseline may predispose to the development of cardiovascular events and T2D during follow-up emphasizing the importance of an accurate counseling in order to prevent extra-hepatic complications.
Background: Contrasting data are available in the literature regarding the superiority of percutaneous microwave ablation (MWA) or radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in very early or early (BCLA 0 or A) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Aims: The primary outcome was to compare the efficacy of RFA and MWA in achieving complete response in cirrhotic patients with early and very early HCC. The secondary outcomes were to evaluate the overall survival and the recurrence rate. Methods: A retrospective, observational, single-center study was performed. Inclusion criteria were liver cirrhosis, new diagnosis of a single node of HCC measuring a maximum of 50 mm or up to three nodules with diameter up to 35 mm, treatment with RFA or MWA. Radiological response was evaluated with multiphasic contrast-enhanced Computed Tomography or Magnetic Resonance Imaging at 5–7 weeks after thermal ablation. Complete response was defined when no vital tissue was detected after treatment. Results: Overall, 251 HCC patients were included in this study; 81 patients were treated with MWA and 170 with RFA. The complete response rate was similar in MWA and RFA groups (out of 331 nodules, 87.5% (91/104) were treated with MWA and 84.2% (186/221) were treated with RFA, p = 0.504). Interestingly, a subanalysis demonstrated that for 21–35 mm nodules, the probability to achieve a complete response using MWA was almost 5 times higher than for RFA (OR = 4.88, 95% CI 1.37–17.31, p = 0.014). Moreover, recurrence rate in 21–35 mm nodules was higher with RFA with respect to MWA (31.9% versus 13.5%, p = 0.019). Overall survival was 80.4% (45/56) when treated with MWA and 62.2% (56/90) when treated with RFA (p = 0.027). No significant difference was observed between MWA and RFA treatment in the 15–20 mm nodules group. Conclusion: This study showed that MWA is more efficient than RFA in achieving complete response in HCC nodules with 21 to 35 mm diameter.
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