Background Detection of dengue virus antibodies is important for understanding future dengue virus risk and for prevaccination screening. We aimed to evaluate the performance of a dengue IgG indirect ELISA in determining dengue seroprevalence in a cohort of children in the Philippines, using a focus reduction neutralisation test (FRNT) as the reference test. MethodsIn this prospective population-based cohort study, we enrolled healthy children residing in Bogo or Balamban, Cebu, Philippines, who were to be aged 9-14 years at the time of a mass dengue vaccination campaign. Sera were collected from participants and batch tested by indirect IgG ELISA and FRNT. The primary endpoint was dengue seroprevalence in the cohort, detected by ELISA, and validated by that detected by reference FRNT. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03465254.Findings We collected 2996 serum samples between May 2, and June 2, 2017, and we tested each sample with IgG ELISA. Using 1961 samples (65•5%) that were tested with FRNT, and 1035 samples (34•5%) with imputed results, we found that 320 (10•7%) of 2996 children were dengue naive and 2676 (89•3%) were seropositive for previous dengue virus infection. Based on the 1961 non-imputed FRNT results classified as dengue seronegative or seropositive, the ELISA (with a 0•9 index value cutoff) showed 95•2% sensitivity, 93•4% specificity, 6•6% false positivity, and 4•8% false negativity. However, sensitivity of the ELISA was poor (77•1%) among children with immunity to just one dengue virus serotype. Of the 11 sera that were false positive with ELISA, seven samples (63•6%) were seropositive for Zika virus or Japanese encephalitis virus with FRNT.Interpretation Most children (89•3%) assessed in our study and eligible to participate in the mass dengue vaccination campaign were seropositive for previous dengue virus infection. Compared with FRNT, ELISA had high sensitivity and specificity (>90%), but the false-negative and false-positive rates makes the test suboptimal for prevaccination screening. Individuals who are falsely identified as seropositive by dengue IgG ELISA and then vaccinated might be at risk of developing severe disease during a subsequent exposure to wild-type dengue virus. Those with a monotypic profile would benefit the most from vaccination, but the sensitivity of the IgG ELISA was much lower in this group than in those with a multitypic profile.
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Dengue is an important public health problem in the Philippines. We sought to describe the trends in dengue research in the country. We searched four databases and identified published studies on dengue research in the Philippines during the past 60 years. We reviewed 135 eligible studies, of which 33% were descriptive epidemiologic studies or case series, 16% were entomologic or vector control studies, 12% were studies on dengue virology and serologic response, 10% were socio-behavioral and economics studies, 8% were clinical trials, 7% were on burden of disease, 7% were investigations on markers of disease severity, 5% were on dengue diagnostics, and 2% were modeling studies. During the last decade, dengue research in the Philippines has increased and evolved from simple descriptive studies to those with more complex and diverse designs. We identified several key topics where more research would be useful.
BackgroundDespite being a cholera-endemic country, data on cholera in the Philippines remain sparse. Knowing the areas where cholera is known to occur and the factors that lead to its occurrence will assist in planning preventive measures and disaster mitigation.MethodsUsing sentinel surveillance data, PubMed and ProMED searches covering information from 2008–2013 and event-based surveillance reports from 2010–2013, we assessed the epidemiology of cholera in the Philippines. Using spatial log regression, we assessed the role of water, sanitation and population density on the incidence of cholera.Results and DiscussionWe identified 12 articles from ProMED and none from PubMed that reported on cholera in the Philippines from 2008 to 2013. Data from ProMed and surveillance revealed 42,071 suspected and confirmed cholera cases reported from 2008 to 2013, among which only 5,006 were confirmed. 38 (47%) of 81 provinces and metropolitan regions reported at least one confirmed case of cholera and 32 (40%) reported at least one suspected case. The overall case fatality ratio in sentinel sites was 0.62%, but was 2% in outbreaks. All age groups were affected. Using both confirmed and suspected cholera cases, the average annual incidence in 2010–2013 was 9.1 per 100,000 population. Poor access to improved sanitation was consistently associated with higher cholera incidence. Paradoxically, access to improved water sources was associated with higher cholera incidence using both suspected and confirmed cholera data sources. This finding may have been due to the breakdown in the infrastructure and non-chlorination of water supplies, emphasizing the need to maintain public water systems.ConclusionOur findings confirm that cholera affects a large proportion of the provinces in the country. Identifying areas most at risk for cholera will support the development and implementation of policies to minimize the morbidity and mortality due to this disease.
Dengue seroprevalence data are useful for understanding epidemiologic trends and transmission dynamics, and for making decisions about implementation of dengue control programs. A logistical challenge to seroprevalence surveys is the collection and transport of serum samples. For conducting large and repeated dengue serosurveys, dried blood spots (DBS) would allow easier sample collection, shipment, transport, and storage than standard serum collection methods. Further evidence is needed to understand how well DBS performs compared with standard serum collection methods in laboratory assays. We evaluated the detection of anti-dengue antibodies by IgG indirect ELISA when using DBS compared with sera. Specimens were collected from healthy children in Cebu, Philippines, who would be 9-14 years of age at the time of a mass dengue vaccination program. Using an ELISA index value cutoff of 0.9, 1,285/1,488 (86.4%) of the DBS were seropositive and 203 (13.6%) were seronegative, compared with 1,292/1,488 (86.8%) seropositive and 196 (13.2%) seronegative serum samples. Compared with sera, the DBS method had a 98.3% sensitivity, 92.4% specificity, 98.9% positive predictive value, and 89.2% negative predictive value. Considering the advantages in terms of sample collection, shipment, and storage, DBS sampling may be appropriate for dengue population serosurveys.
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