Inferring the source of a diffusion in a large network of agents is a difficult but feasible task, if a few agents act as sensors revealing the time at which they got hit by the diffusion. One of the main limitations of current source detection algorithms is that they assume full knowledge of the contact network, which is rarely the case, especially for epidemics, where the source is called patient zero. Inspired by recent implementations of contact tracing algorithms, we propose a new framework, which we call Source Detection via Contact Tracing Framework (SDCTF). In the SDCTF, the source detection task starts at the time of the first hospitalization, and initially we have no knowledge about the contact network other than the identity of the first hospitalized agent. We may then explore the network by contact queries, and obtain symptom onset times by test queries in an adaptive way, i.e., both contact and test queries can depend on the outcome of previous queries. We also assume that some of the agents may be asymptomatic, and therefore cannot reveal their symptom onset time. Our goal is to find patient zero with as few contact and test queries as possible. We propose two local search algorithms for the SDCTF: the LS algorithm is more data-efficient, but can fail to find the true source if many asymptomatic agents are present, whereas the LS+ algorithm is more robust to asymptomatic agents. By simulations we show that both LS and LS+ outperform state of the art adaptive and non-adaptive source detection algorithms adapted to the SDCTF, even though these baseline algorithms have full access to the contact network. Extending the theory of random exponential trees, we analytically approximate the probability of success of the LS/ LS+ algorithms, and we show that our analytic results match the simulations. Finally, we benchmark our algorithms on the Data-driven COVID-19 Simulator (DCS) developed by Lorch et al., which is the first time source detection algorithms are tested on such a complex dataset.
We propose a strategy to automatically denoise sensor data streams corrupted with noise that can be approximated as additive white Gaussian noise. The proposed block-based method is adapted from the Monte-Carlo-SURE (MC-SURE) algorithm which enables the blind optimization of the denoising parameter of a wide class of filters. Our framework is formulated by identifying and addressing the challenges that arise when the MC-SURE algorithm is applied in an on-line data processing setting, where latency (and the length of data blocks) must be constrained. The strategy has been tested using real datasets. Our results indicate that the proposed method can be effectively used to handle the denoising of real sensor streaming data that reasonably fit the Gaussian model assumption.
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