The environmental problems about soil and water are critical to the sustainable agricultural production, which are the core issues of the national stable development. With the agricultural modernization and the trend of ecological development, the contradiction between environmental protection and economic development has become increasingly prominent. Recognizing Henan’s population, resources, environmental situation, comparative advantages, prominent regional features, actively seeking for Henan provincial road of sustainable development of agriculture so as to realize the rise of the central region, which is of important realistic significance.

Water consumption per ten thousand yuan industrial added value (WCPIAV) is the assessment indicator to implement the most stringent water management system to control water efficiency. This paper proposes trend analysis method, elasticity coefficient analysis method and influencing factors analysis method to predict WCPIAV in Jiangsu province, the experimental areas where implement the most stringent water management system. The results show that different methods predict well in different cities, influencing factors analysis method works better than the other two methods. An appropriate method should be selected depending on the specific situation.