Background & Aims
There is no histologic classification system to determine prognoses
of patients with alcoholic hepatitis (AH). We identified histologic features
associated with disease severity and created a histologic scoring system to
predict short-term (90 day) mortality.
Methods
We analyzed data from 121 patients admitted to the Liver Unit
(Hospital Clinic, Barcelona, Spain) from January 2000 through January 2008
with features of AH, and developed a histologic scoring system to determine
risk of death using logistic regression. The system was tested and updated
in a test set of 96 patients from 5 academic centers in the US and Europe,
and a semi-quantitative scoring system was developed, called the alcoholic
hepatitis histologic score (AHHS). The system was validated in an
independent set of 109 patients. Inter-observer agreement was evaluated by
weighted statistic analysis.
Results
Degree of fibrosis, neutrophil infiltration, type of
bilirubinostasis, and presence mega-mitochondria were independently
associated with 90 day mortality. We used these 4 parameters to develop the
AHHS to identify patients with low (0–3 points), moderate
(4–5 points), and high (6–9 points) risks of death within 90
days (3%, 19%, and 51%, respectively;
P<.0001). The AHHS estimated 90 day
mortality in the training and test sets with an area under the receiver
operating characteristic value of 0.77 (95% confidence interval,
0.71–0.83). Inter-rate agreement values were 0.65 for fibrosis, 0.86
for bilirubinostasis, 0.60 for neutrophil infiltration, and 0.46 for
megamitochondria. Interestingly, the type of bilirubinostasis predicted the
development of bacterial infections.
Conclusions
We identified histologic features associated with severity of AH and
developed a patient classification system that might be used in clinical
decision making.
Recurrence of hepatitis C after liver transplantation (LT) is the main cause of graft loss and retransplantation. Frequent liver biopsies are essential to follow-up hepatitis C virus (HCV)-induced liver damage. However, liver biopsy is an invasive and expensive procedure. We evaluated prospectively the diagnostic accuracy of noninvasive measurement of liver stiffness (by transient elastography) to assess the severity of hepatitis C recurrence after LT. For this purpose, we included 124 HCV-infected liver transplant recipients who underwent 169 liver biopsies and 129 hepatic hemodynamic studies with determination of hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). Simultaneously, patients underwent measurement of liver stiffness. Liver fibrosis was mild (F0-F1) in 96 cases (57%) and significant (F2-F4) in 73 (43%). HVPG was normal (Ͻ6 mm Hg) in 69 cases (54%) and elevated (Ն6 mm Hg) in 60 (46%). Using a liver stiffness cutoff value of 8.5 kilopascals, the sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value, and positive predictive value for diagnosis of fibrosis ՆF2 were 90%, 81%, 79%, and 92%, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) for diagnosis of fibrosis ՆF2, ՆF3 and F4 were 0.90, 0.93, and 0.98, respectively. There was a close direct correlation between liver stiffness and HVPG (Pearson coefficient, 0.84; P Ͻ 0.001) and the AUC for diagnosis of portal hypertension (HVPG Ն6 mm Hg) was 0.93. Importantly, none of the individuals with liver stiffness below the cutoff value had either bridging fibrosis (F3) or cirrhosis (F4) or significant portal hypertension (HVPG Ն10 mm Hg). In conclusion, determination of liver stiffness is an extremely valuable tool to assess the severity of HCV recurrence after LT and in reducing the need of follow-up liver biopsies.
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