No abstract

Based on data from the Central Statistics Agency, Central Java has 4,20 million people (12,23%) poor population in 2017 with Rp333.224,00 per capita per month poverty line. So, Central Java has got the second rank after East Java as the province which has the highest poor population in indonesia in 2017. In this research use the fixed effects spatial durbin model method for modeling poor population in each city in Central Java at 2014-2017. The spatial durbin model is a spatial regression model which contains a spatial dependence on dependent variable and independent variable. If the spatial dependence on dependent variable or independent variables is ignored, the resulting coefficient estimator will be biased and inconsistent. The fixed effect is one of the panel data regression models which assumes a different intercept value at each observation but fixed at each time, and slope coefficient is constant. The advantage of using fixed effects in spatial panel data regression is able to know the different characteristics in each region. The dependent variable used is poor population in each city in Central Java, and the independent variable is Minimum Wage, Life Expectancy, School Participation Rate 16-18 Years, Expected Years of Schooling, Total Population, and Per Capita Expenditure. The results of the analysis shows that the fixed effects spatial durbin model is significant and can be used. The variables that significantly affect the model are the Life Expectancy and Expected Years of Schooling, and the coefficient of determination (R2) is 99.95%. Keywords: Poverty, Spatial, Panel Data, Fixed Effects Spatial Durbin Model

In the queueing system, the processes usually come from a Poisson process. In this system should be obtained an arrival distribution and a service distribution. This paper studies about the form of the number of arrival distribution, the number of service distribution, the interarrival distribution and the service time distribution. Futhermore it talks about the relation of them to a Poisson distribution and an exponential distribution.

The classification method continues to develop in order to get more accurate classification results than before. The purpose of the research is comparing the two k-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) methods that have been developed, namely the Local Mean k-Nearest Neighbor (LMKNN) and Multi Local Means k-Harmonic Nearest Neighbor (MLM-KHNN) by taking a case study of listed bank financial statements and financial statements complete recorded at Bank Indonesia in 2017. LMKNN is a method that aims to improve classification performance and reduce the influence of outliers, and MLM-KHNN is a method that aims to reduce sensitivity to a single value. This study uses seven indicators to measure the soundness of a bank, including the Capital Adequacy Ratio, Non Performing Loans, Loan to Deposit Ratio, Return on Assets, Return on Equity, Net Interest Margin, and Operating Expenses on Operational Income with a classification of bank health status is very good (class 1), good (class 2), quite good (class 3) and poor (class 4). The measure of the accuracy of the classification results used is the Apparent Error Rate (APER). The best classification results of the LMKNN method are in the proportion of 80% training data and 20% test data with k=7 which produces the smallest APER 0,0556 and an accuracy of 94,44%, while the best classification results of the MLM-KHNN method are in the proportion of 80% training data and 20% test data with k=3 which produces the smallest APER 0,1667 and an accuracy of 83,33%. Based on APER calculation shows that the LMKNN method is better than MLM-KHNN in classifying the health status of banks in Indonesia.Keywords: Classification, Local Mean k-Nearest Neighbor (LMKNN), Multi Local Means k-Harmonic Nearest Neighbor (MLM-KHNN), Measure of accuracy of classification

One of the fundamental problems that always exist in a regions in Indonesia is the problem of poverty. Various poverty reduction efforts initiated by the Central Government and the Regions is now experiencing growth and significant shifts in accordance with the direction and context of poverty reduction targets. To overcome poverty, one of the things done by the Central Java provincial government is to help livestock. Livestock types cultivated in Central Java, is a large livestock, namely cattle (beef / dairy), buffalo and horses, while small livestock consists of goats, sheep and pigs. For that conducted the study to classify cities in Central Java into groups based on livestock population. The grouping using fuzzy cluster analysis means. From this study showed that of the three kinds of clusters obtained many tried to do the most accurate cluster is 3 clusters with Xie-Beni index 0,3279177, with cluster 1 are 20 city, cluster 2 are 12 City and cluster 3 there are 3 City.