433 Background: Current staging systems for gallbladder cancer (GBC) are inadequate, as they are based on surgical pathology, and therefore are not relevant for unresectable patients and patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Methods: Patients with a confirmed diagnosis of GBC who were seen at Mayo Clinic between the years 2000 and 2016 were included in this analysis. Data on demographic and tumor characteristics and outcomes were collected by retrospective review of electronic medical records. A model predictive of overall survival was developed using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. Harrel’s C-statistic was calculated to evaluate the predictive accuracy of the model and compared with the TNM staging system. Results: A total of 523 patients were included in the final analysis, with a median age of diagnosis of 68 years. The median duration of follow up of the entire cohort was 12 months. In multivariate analysis, factors predictive of poorer overall survival were: ages 65-74 years (HR : 1.80, 95% CI: 1.33–2.43) and ages 75+ years (HR: 2.93, 95% CI: 2.12–4.06) compared to age <55 years; tumor size ≥ 5 cm by imaging (HR: 1.24, 95% CI: 1.01–1.55); nodal involvement by imaging (HR:1.61, 95% CI: 1.23–2.10); involvement of distant organs by imaging (HR: 2.85, 95% CI: 2.16–3.75); ECOG performance score of 2 or higher (HR: 1.78, 95% CI: 1.36–2.32) compared to ECOG 0-1; albumin level <3.5 g/dL (HR: 1.40, 95% CI: 1.08–1.81); and alkaline Phosphatase level ≥ 200 IU/L (HR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.21–1.84). Using these seven predictive factors of survival we created a four-tier staging system. The median survivals of Stages I, II, III and IV created in our novel system were 64, 34, 20 and 7 months with corresponding hazard ratios of 1, 1.5, 2.5 and 8.5 respectively. The C-statistic for this novel staging system was 0.68 compared to C-statistic of 0.69 for the TNM staging system, indicating similar performance in predicting survival. Conclusions: We have created a novel clinically-based staging system for patients with GBC based on nonoperative information at the time of diagnosis which performs on par with the current surgical pathology based TNM staging system.
Background: Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been used as an inflammation based prognostic marker for various malignancies. This study evaluated the association between NLR and overall survival (OS) in patients with metastatic gallbladder cancer (GBC) Methods: An optimal cut off point for NLR was identified by plotting spline-based hazard ratio curves to identify a threshold effect and patients were divided into two groups, 5 or <5. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted for NLR5 and NLR<5 and OS between the two groups.Results: Of the 231 patients included, 138 (60%) had NLR <5 and 93 (40%) had NLR 5. There were no significant differences noted in gender, race, and administration of chemotherapy between the two groups. On univariable analysis, patients with NLR 5 had a significantly poor OS compared to those with NLR <5 (Median OS: 3.6 vs 8.7 months, p < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, adjusting for age, performance status, albumin, alkaline phosphatase, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, bilirubin, platelet count and no administration of chemotherapy, NLR of 5 was associated with a worse OS compared to NLR <5 (HR: 1.70, 95%CI:1.20-2.39, p < 0.05). Conclusion:The current study demonstrates that NLR 5 is an independent predictor of poor prognosis in patients with metastatic GBC.
243 Background: The risk factors for gallbladder cancer (GBC) are poorly understood and preventive therapeutic options have not been identified. The use of aspirin (ASA) and/or statin has been associated with reduced risk of several gastrointestinal cancers. In this study, we explore if the use of ASA or statin is associated with a reduced risk of GBC. Methods: We identified patients with GBC diagnosed between the years 2000 and 2016 at Mayo Clinic. We identified matched controls in 2:1 fashion for age, gender and country of residence from patients who underwent cholecystectomy at Mayo Clinic. We collected information on co-morbidities and use of statins or ASA by retrospective chart review. We compared baseline characteristics between cases and controls using Fisher’s exact test for categorical variables and Mann-Whitney U test for continuous variables. We used binomial logistic regression to calculate the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) to estimate the association of ASA or statin use with GBC. The logistic regression model included history of cholelithiasis, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia (HCL), hypertension (HTN), hyperthyroidism, hypothyroidism, primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC), inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), cirrhosis and statin or ASA use as covariates. Results: 633 cases and 1,266 controls were included in our final analysis. The median age at diagnosis of cases and controls was 67 years. The control group had a significantly (p < 0.05) higher proportion of patients with cholelithiasis, HCL, HTN, hypothyroidism and liver cirrhosis compared to the cases. The case group,contrarily, had a significantly higher proportion of patients with PSC and IBD. In univariate analysis, ASA (OR: 0.41; 95% CI: 0.33-0.52) or statin (OR: 0.48; 95% CI: 0.38-0.60) use was associated with a lower risk of GBC (p < 0.001). However, in multivariate analysis, ASA use was associated with a lower risk of GBC (OR: 0.52; 95% CI: 0.41-0.67, p < 0.001) whereas statin use was not (OR: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.56-1.03, p = 0.08). Conclusions: Our study demonstrates that aspirin use is associated with a reduced risk of GBC, whereas statin use is not. Further studies on GBC are needed to confirm these results and to elucidate mechanisms that explain the risk reduction with aspirin.
Aspirin and statin drugs have been associated with reduced risk of several gastrointestinal cancers, but their association with gallbladder cancer (GBC) has not been well established. We evaluated the association of aspirin and statins with the risk of GBC. Patients with GBC managed at Mayo Clinic between 2000 and 2019 were matched 1:2 with a general patient pool by age and sex. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess associations between GBC and aspirin or statin use. The analysis included 795 cases and 1590 controls, with a median age of 67 years. Aspirin or statin use alone or in combination was higher in controls (p < 0.001). Univariate analysis showed that the use of aspirin [odds ratio (OR):0.11; 95%CI: 0.08–0.15] or statins (OR: 0.29; 95%CI: 0.20–0.40) and their combined use (OR: 0.18; 95%CI: 0.13–0.24) was associated with lower risk of GBC. Multivariable analysis revealed that aspirin (OR: 0.12; 95%CI: 0.09–0.16) and combined statins and aspirin (OR: 0.46; 95%CI: 0.31–0.67) were associated with lower risk of GBC. Aspirin alone or in combination with statins is associated with a strongly reduced risk of GBC. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm these results and to elucidate their mechanisms.
Objective To test an intervention to increase screening for hepatitis B (HBV) in at-risk immigrants in the primary care setting. Patients and Methods From a Mayo Clinic primary care panel, we identified approximately 19,000 immigrant patients from 9 high-risk countries/ethnic groups with intermediate or high prevalences of chronic HBV. Eligible patients with no record of prior HBV testing scheduled for primary care visits within the study period spanning October 1, 2017, through October 31, 2018, were identified. During the intervention period, the primary health care professional was notified by email 1 week prior to each primary care visit and encouraged to discuss screening for HBV infection and order screening tests at the appointment. We assessed rates of HBV screening during control and intervention periods. Results We identified 597 patients in the control period and 212 patients in the intervention period who had not been screened previously for HBV. During the intervention period, 31.4% (58) of the 185 eligible patients were screened for HBV vs 7.2% (43) of the 597 eligible patients in the control period. Thus, the intervention resulted in a 4.3-fold increase in screening ( P <.00001). Of the 101 patients screened in the at-risk population, 22 (21.8%) screened positive for prior exposure to HBV (hepatitis B core antibody–positive) and 6 (5.9%) for chronic HBV infection (hepatitis B surface antigen–positive). Conclusion Notifying primary care physicians of the high-risk status of immigrant patients substantially increased screening for HBV. Identifying patients with HBV is important for monitoring disease prevalence, preventing transmission, and initiating treatment and cancer surveillance, allowing earlier recognition and prevention of chronic hepatitis, disease reactivation, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma.
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