In this paper, we use modified homotopy perturbation method to solving singular boundary value problems (BVP) of higher-order ordinary differential equations. The proposed method can be applied to linear and nonlinear problems.The results prove that the modified HPM is a powerful tool for the solution of singular BVPs.
Singular spectrum analysis (SSA) is a non-parametric method that breaks down a time series into a set of components that can be interpreted and grouped as trend, periodicity, and noise, emphasizing the separability of the underlying components and separate periodicities that occur at different time scales. The original time series can be recovered by summing all components. However, only the components associated to the signal should be considered for the reconstruction of the noise-free time series and to conduct forecasts. When the time series data has the presence of outliers, SSA and other classic parametric and non-parametric methods might result in misleading conclusions and robust methodologies should be used. In this paper we consider the use of two robust SSA algorithms for model fit and one for model forecasting. The classic SSA model, the robust SSA alternatives, and the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model are compared in terms of computational time and accuracy for model fit and model forecast, using a simulation example and time series data from the quotas and returns of six mutual investment funds. When outliers are present in the data, the simulation study shows that the robust SSA algorithms outperform the classical ARIMA and SSA models.
A Hybrid censoring scheme is mixture of Type-I and Type-II censoring schemes. Based on hybrid censored samples, this paper deals with the inference on R = P (X > Y ), when X and Y are two independent Weibull distributions with different scale parameters, but having the same shape parameter. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), and the approximate MLE (AMLE) of R are obtained. The asymptotic distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of R is obtained. Based on the asymptotic distribution, the confidence interval of R can be derived. Two bootstrap confidence intervals are also proposed. We consider the Bayesian estimate of R, and propose the corresponding credible interval for R. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare the different proposed methods. Analysis of a real data set has also been presented for illustrative purposes.
The hybrid censoring is a mixture of type-I and type-II censoring schemes. This paper presents the statistical inferences of the inverse Weibull distribution parameters when the data are type-I hybrid censored. First, we consider the maximum likelihood estimates of the unknown parameters. It is observed that the maximum likelihood estimates can not be obtained in closed form. We further obtain the Bayes estimates and the corresponding highest posterior density credible intervals of the unknown parameters under the assumption of independent gamma priors using the importance sampling procedure. We also compute the approximate Bayes estimates using Lindley's approximation technique. The performance of the Bayes estimates have been compared with maximum likelihood estimates through the Monte Carlo Markov chain techniques. Finally, a real data set have been analysed for illustration purpose.
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