Background: The projection of levels and composition of financial resources for the Healthcare expenditure (HCE) and relevant trends can provide a basis for future health financing reforms. This study aimed to project Iran’s healthcare expenditures by the sources of funds until 2030. Methods: The structural macro-econometric modeling in the Eviews 9 software was employed to simulate and project Iran’s (HCE) by the sources of funds (Government (GHCE), Social Security Organization (SOHCE), Out-of-Pocket Payments (OOP), and Prepaid Private Health Spending (PPHCE)). The behavioral equations were estimated by Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach. Results: If there is a 5%-increase in Iran’s oil revenues, the mean growth rate of GDP is about 2% until 2030. By this scenario, the Total HCE(THCE), GHCE, SOHCE, OOP, and PPHCE increases about 30.5%, 25.9%, 34.4%, 31.2%, and 33.9%, respectively. Therefore, the THCE as a percentage of the GDP(Gross Domestic Product)) will increase from 9.6% in 2016 to 10.7% in 2030. It is predicted that Iran’s THCE will cover 22.2%, 23.3%, 40%, and 14.5% by the government, Social Security Organization, households OOP, and other private sources, respectively, in 2030. Conclusion: Until 2030, Iran’s health expenditures will grow faster than the GDP, government revenues, and non-health spending. Despite the increase in GHCE and total government expenditure, the share of the GHCE from THCE has a decreasing trend. OOP payments remain among the major sources of financing for Iran’s HCE.

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Banking system is one the important sectors of economy and as vital institution of money market, plays a very significant role. Also, due to the nature of the banking system performance, the activities of banks have a close relationship with the exchange rate changes. This paper tries to assess the effects of exchange rate variations on macroeconomic variables via the banking system using a macro-econometric model and approach of bounding ARDL during 1973-2017. The results indicated that an increase in the exchange rate through non-performance loans and long-term deposits will led to decreased credit providing by the banking system. On the other hand, an increase in the exchange rate through the net open position and banks' capital account had a positive impact on banks' credit provision. However, the negative impact of a change in the non-performance loans and long-term deposits is stronger than the positive impact of the net open position. In addition, the decreasing trend of providing credit by banking system had a negative effect on investment. Finally, an increase in the exchange rate causes a decrease in the long-term deposits and the money multiplier which has a negative effect on liquidity and price level. An increase in the exchange rate through the capacity utilitization rate had a negative impact on GDP. Also an increase in the exchange rate led to increased liquidity and price level.